一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd

Jan 31, 2008 9:56am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

USD/CAD 15 MIN Attached Thumbnails

#1802    Jan 31, 2008 10:13am

eye4spot The only way it's up! Member Since Nov 2007 196 Posts

I'm whit u on usd/cad. if it hits 61.8.. Trade @ ur own risk.

Jan 31, 2008 9:48pm

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

Update Attached Thumbnails    __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#1808    Feb 1, 2008 6:24am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Hi EG!! You are right. Wave B can't be more than 350 from A by time. It was my mistake. So. What can it be? I mean cable. Before NFP

#1809    Feb 1, 2008 10:13am

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

We are in the last Wave C or in wave a of Wave B in the 15 mins chart Attached Thumbnails    __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#1810    Feb 1, 2008 3:03pm

kujo17 Senior Member Member Since Dec 2007   996 Posts

EG, I know you mainly cover the GU. I have a GY Daily chart here. This is from the HH since 1990 on the GY. I know this is alot more basic than the EWC way, but I'm still new to Forex and just looking at different methods, now that i have my basic intraday system in place and working well. If this way of thinking is totally off, please I'd love to hear others thoughts on this. For obvious reasons, being able to 'assume' where the pair is headed, technically, as I know fundamentals could alter anything. thanks for all participants thoughts and ideas. cheers, kj Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 2, 2008 12:56am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Here you go. This is my count before the fall. The break of the lower trend line confirms the diagonal (also a good entry point). It should retrace and people should be able to get in on it and push it down a lot more. Attached Thumbnails

#1818    Feb 2, 2008 1:06am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Here is a similar set up on EJ Granted we may have had a zigzag instead of 1,2,3. The correction 4 could be B...but that still leaves us with 5 waves down. Happy Counting! I want you all to become better counters. Will you guys join me in populating my forum? I'll teach you what I know and we can hold chat sessions and we can formulate questions back and forth. I'm not trying to make money with the forum, I'm trying to become a better Elliott Wave counter and help other people count. The money will come from good wave counts! -Adrian Attached Thumbnails

Feb 2, 2008 11:27am

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

USD_JPY Quote: Originally Posted by bunton Could someone with ew skills please post a macro chart of USD/JPY from 1980's top? here you go bunton. it looks like that right now we are at the end of the wave 4 in descending triangle with flat bottom and declining top. I believe that this year could be the year of JPY, that means that i am expecting price to breakthrough bottom from B and D.This are my minimum expectations, cause price should go much lower in the future... i hope that i helped you a little nice trading, grega

#1822    Feb 2, 2008 12:35pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Money's count is my primary long term count on USDJPY; although, the current price movement doesn't confirm this count yet. Here are my two counts:

hefeiddd

Feb 2, 2008 8:11pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Eliott Waves : Hard at work " E "- waves - ( Chart example of rules ) ---------------------------------------------------- Which one is occurring in the Usd/Yen ?....... ---------------------------------------------------- ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 2, 2008 8:23pm

#1835    Feb 2, 2008 8:17pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Yen This chart : originally posted by , Adrian Looks very close to what appears to be occurring Longer-Term . --------------------------------------------------------------------- ( Double Click on chart to enlarge ) Attached Thumbnails

#1836    Feb 2, 2008 8:50pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Yen Movement toward the " End of wave C " ? ------------------------------------------------------ Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone ! ------------------------------------------------------ ( Double click on chart to enlarge ) Attached Thumbnails

#1837    Feb 2, 2008 8:53pm

BRForex Infractions Overload Member Since Dec 2006 311 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by BRForex I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD... can u share ? thanks I still waiting ... can help ? __________________ Forex News: [url]http://drforex.blogspot.com/[/url] Pips Count: BullTradingGoal = 009 orders; Result= + 140 I love God

#1838    Feb 2, 2008 9:02pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by BRForex I still waiting ... can help ? What time frame are you looking for ? ////////////////////////////////////////////////// Here is a great thread that only talks about Gbp/Usd Go check it out - http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=10378 -----------------------------------------------

#1839    Feb 2, 2008 9:06pm

auxesis Laminin Member Since Apr 2007   1,002 Posts

Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone ! Attached Thumbnails

#1840    Feb 2, 2008 9:21pm

BRForex Infractions Overload Member Since Dec 2006 311 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by marketwavez What time frame are you looking for ? ////////////////////////////////////////////////// Here is a great thread that only talks about Gbp/Usd Go check it out - http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=10378 ----------------------------------------------- Hi, i am looking for "Daily" or "H4" chart. I know this thread about cable. Thanks. __________________ Forex News: [url]http://drforex.blogspot.com/[/url] Pips Count: BullTradingGoal = 009 orders; Result= + 140 I love God

#1841    Feb 2, 2008 10:09pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by auxesis Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone ! Uh yea..that would be our primary count that has already been posted :-D.

#1842    Feb 2, 2008 10:33pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by auxesis Only a Probability ! ................. Not Cast in Stone ! Hey Auxesis.. Nice to see you here again. I was wondering how your Pitchfork analysis fits into the EW analysis now for EURUSD and if you have any on GBPJPY and EURJPY. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1843    Feb 2, 2008 11:17pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by BRForex Originally Posted by BRForex I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD... can u share ? thanks Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Not sure what you are asking ...... now it seems you have gone away from here ------------------------------------------------------------------ Anyway , I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd ( See Here ) Scroll down to Post # 1677 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112 --------------------------------------------------------------- Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 3, 2008 12:35am

#1844    Feb 3, 2008 4:15am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

EUR/JPY Hi all!!! Here is two variants for eur/jpy. I prefer the first fariant. So I'll be looking for buy positions enter. Good luck guys Attached Thumbnails

#1845    Feb 3, 2008 5:04am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Cad/jpy From all yen pairs, cad/jpy looks the most interesting one, for the present time of course Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 3, 2008 5:58am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY This is my view on the EURJPY EG Attached Thumbnails                __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1847    Feb 3, 2008 6:08am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY Alternative Count on 4H - EG This is my Alternative Count. Although I now think this should be my first count. EG Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1848    Feb 3, 2008 6:25am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY Higher TF Monthly and Weekly charts for EURJPY EG Attached Thumbnails            __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 3, 2008 2:34pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

About Wave B By Time Attached Thumbnails

#1851    Feb 3, 2008 2:44pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

http://www.neowave.com/qow-archive.asp Rather interesting site. I hope you'll improve your technic

#1852    Feb 3, 2008 2:50pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

There is one more rule: no one part of the wave 3 cannot brake the line 0-2 Best regards:wave:

#1853    Feb 3, 2008 3:56pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega http://www.neowave.com/qow-archive.asp Rather interesting site. I hope you'll improve your technic NEoWave is by Glenn Neely good Elliott Guy

#1854    Feb 3, 2008 4:02pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega Hi EG. I hope you won't be angry on me, if i mention several critical mistakes in your first counts (daily eur/jpy) its according time. First of all - 3.2 can't be more in time than 2. And secondly wave B can't be the smallest part by time in the correction. He's got a really good point.. Thanks Serega. This last wave down on EURJPY will probably end the C wave on daily before we travel up for for another Impulse wave. Serega, did you buy a subscription to NEoWave?

#1855    Feb 3, 2008 4:14pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega Hi EG. I hope you won't be angry on me, if i mention several critical mistakes in your first counts (daily eur/jpy) its according time. First of all - 3.2 can't be more in time than 2. And secondly wave B can't be the smallest part by time in the correction. Hey Serega. Thank you for pointing that out. Definitely, I hold no grudge with you on this one. You are actually helping me out here and maybe the others too. Thank you again. EG After reviewing my notes from last night when I posted those charts, without really knowing about that rule or guideline from NEOwave, I actually had the option at the back of my mind to settle for a wave c for the end of wave 335 which translates to wave 33. That was going to be based on the stochastics as a guide. It would then make me consider wave 1 and 2 as a and b of a bigger A which is a sub wave of a higher degree wave C for wave 334. Anyway it is great that you brought that up as, this in the feature will allow me to be a a few steps ahead rather than putting in a wave count that constantly adjusts as it develops. My style at the moment keeps on having a lot of potential counts which based on the rules that I know are still valid. they get weeded out only when they violate a rule. That guideline you mentioned which I believe is found under Neely's work would help reduce the number of potential counts early in the wave count development. __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Feb 3, 2008 6:09pm

#1856    Feb 3, 2008 4:16pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

No. There are answers on questions,that can help you. I usually use his book "Mastering Elliott Wave" . Some new principals i took from one man who visited lessons of Nelly

#1857    Feb 3, 2008 4:28pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Here information about neutral triangle. Also from Neely Attached Files Doc1.doc (37.5 KB, 89 views)

#1858    Feb 3, 2008 4:31pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

I suppose that we have neutral triangle on CAD/JPY( the count i posted)

#1859    Feb 3, 2008 5:18pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by carforum Is there any website show the Elliott counting? Please recommed some website which show the elliott counting, since i want to compare my count between others! I have search from google, unforunately, there's only few website! Elliott Wave Chart School Learn it all right here : http://elliotwave.net/educational/basictenets.htm

hefeiddd

Feb 3, 2008 7:57pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by BRForex I need "Cycle degree" chart from GBP/USD... can u share ? thanks Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Not sure what you are asking ...... ------------------------------------------------------------------ Anyway , I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd ( See Here ) Scroll down to Post # 1677 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112 ---------------------------------------------------------------

#1862    Feb 3, 2008 8:23pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Yen ---- Original Post - Post #1836 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=123 Here's is a short -term CHART UPDATE : ---------------------------------------- (Double click on chart to Enlarge ) Attached Thumbnails

#1863    Feb 3, 2008 8:28pm

BRForex Infractions Overload Member Since Dec 2006 311 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by marketwavez Are you looking for Long-Term ( Daily Bar) Elliott Wave-count of Gbp/Usd ? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Not sure what you are asking ...... ------------------------------------------------------------------ Anyway , I have already posted my 4hr bar wave-count chart of the Gbp/Usd ( See Here ) Scroll down to Post # 1677 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=112 --------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for your reply. Nice chart I am student (starting) about EW. I am looking now for Grand Supercycle (from 1970 ) ((I)) Wave From 1970 <> 1978 ((II)) Wave From 1978 <> 1980 ((III)) Wave From 1980 <> 1985 ((IV)) Wave From 1985 <> 2007 (?) ((V)) Wave From 2007 <> Now... Remember i trade about TA e FA since 2003, now i will go to EW Attached Thumbnails    __________________ Forex News: [url]http://drforex.blogspot.com/[/url] Pips Count: BullTradingGoal = 009 orders; Result= + 140 I love God

hefeiddd

Feb 4, 2008 2:21am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Cad/jpy I would like to come back to the chart of CAD/JPY. And to present the alternative count Attached Thumbnails

#1871    Feb 4, 2008 2:23am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by s3padrian I have a Russian friend named Serega. He taught me how to say "Hands on hips" in Russian.. In my crappiest RussEnglish: "Rookie Pah Shway?" lol Anyways, you'll have to share these pictures with me. The neutral triangle is not in his Mastering Elliott Book. Give me your email

#1872    Feb 4, 2008 3:26am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

EUR/JPY Guys, very interesting picture is drawing on EUR/JPY. But its hard to count it. I suppose wave C as terminal. Any ideas? Attached Thumbnails

#1873    Feb 4, 2008 3:38am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Yea I'm looking at this. I think you're on to something. My entire internet provider went down tonight for some reason. Their call centers don't even work.

#1874    Feb 4, 2008 3:51am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Usd/Cad - looks like UP Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 3, 2008 2:34pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

About Wave B By Time Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 4, 2008 4:24am

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

update Attached Thumbnails    __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#1878    Feb 4, 2008 4:30am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Up movement is starting to look possible now, but let's see how it fairs.

#1879    Feb 4, 2008 6:46am

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

gbpusd 4 hour Attached Thumbnails    __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#1880    Feb 4, 2008 8:58am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Cad Good Morning All............... - Looking for an End of a Wave 3 ------------------------------------------------ Only a Probability !................ Not Cast in Stone ! ----------------------------------------------------

#1881    Feb 4, 2008 9:10am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

GBP/USD H4. Generally the same count Attached Thumbnails

#1882    Feb 4, 2008 9:16am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Marketwavez, someone good morning , and for someone good evening. Good day for you too Marketwavez :wave:

#1883    Feb 4, 2008 12:39pm

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

gbp usd helllo serega nice to see you charts again. I will also work this week a lot on cable, so i watchin it very closely right now. I realize that we are still in down trend if you look at the daily, but anyway i am prepared to go long, but fir i would like see that price would retrice back up around 618.70% of my previous wave one that i have also labeled it on picture bellow. If will not go down to this level then i will try to jump in after breaking my uper resistnace line connected from highs of wave b and 1... anyway, i must be REALLY carefull on this one, you never know.... Like to shere pictures with you all on in this threath This analysis was published on this web site http://www.trading-fx.si/fx/sloanaliza.htm

#1884    Feb 4, 2008 2:18pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

:wave: Money:wave: I should admit, that your variant is rather interesting, and your count should be taken into consodiration. Thanks for your ideas

#1885    Feb 4, 2008 2:53pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

I would like to see a very good short term USDJPY count. Someone told me that we're in the 4th wave or some diagonal..etc. Show me what you got :-D

#1886    Feb 4, 2008 3:08pm

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega :wave: Money:wave: I should admit, that your variant is rather interesting, and your count should be taken into consodiration. Thanks for your ideas Tnx to you, we are here to shared a lot of ideas... I hope that i didnt miss this entry already, i should pay attention on this wave countig before price bounced from upper trend line. just waitting for now

#1887    Feb 4, 2008 3:22pm

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by s3padrian I would like to see a very good short term USDJPY count. Someone told me that we're in the 4th wave or some diagonal..etc. Show me what you got :-D Hello adrian you talk about USD/JPY, i am also interesting in this one. Last week I posted this picture bellow, where you can see my wave 1 and 2, and i was waitting for break down to new lows. previous I must admit that right now i am a little confused after Fridays news. it seems that we are in some pattern with a-b-c subwaves, so one option is that wa are in 3-3-3-3-3 triangle. but like i meantioned before, i thought that we are in wave 2, but anyway thre are some probilities that we have this triangle in wave 2, but is very small chance to be true. but is possible!!! i must say that i still believe in new lows in this month. now Any yours ideas??

#1888    Feb 5, 2008 5:48am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Yen Wow!............ Success ! .................... Here's how last week's projection has now turned out All targets have been reached ---------------------------------------------------------- See Original Post : Post #1862 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=125 Time to go play golf,,,,,,, --------------------------------- ( Double click on chart to enlarge ) Attached Thumbnails          Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 5, 2008 8:49am

#1889    Feb 5, 2008 12:16pm

kevmcfoster Jai Shewaramani Member Since Sep 2006 82 Posts

. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong To be the Best, you have to beat the Rest!!! It doesn't matter what you know, it's how you use it...

#1890    Feb 5, 2008 1:19pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

:wave: Everyone!!!! Cad/jpy. I have two variants red and blue. According to the red variant terminal finished. If it so, the price should reach the begining of the terminal (101.83) about 25% of time of forming terminal. We can also suppose that today we have 1 wave in a new impuls after terminal. But at the same time the line 2-4 of the termial is not broken yet. From another side todays high opens the road up Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 5, 2008 2:22pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Gbp/jpy. The count with triangle is real unless the price brake 208.81 Attached Thumbnails

#1892    Feb 5, 2008 2:45pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

It's a picture with triangle, where E wave brakes the line 0-C. It looks like that picture that we have on gbp/jpy Attached Images 02.bmp (888.0 KB, 112 views)

#1893    Feb 6, 2008 2:13am

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

books Quote: Originally Posted by Serega It's a picture with triangle, where E wave brakes the line 0-C. It looks like that picture that we have on gbp/jpy Hello serega, how are you, i just have one question, from where are this pictures, which book? tnx in advance

#1894    Feb 6, 2008 2:29am

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

usd jpy hello everyone, few days ago i talk about possibilities of the 3-3-3-3-3 triangle in the wave 2, which is very rare. But now it seems that this variant could be true if we look at the picture now, anyway there is stiil to soon to take any advantage of this, maybe with very very small expentations....

#1895    Feb 6, 2008 2:52am

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

usd jpy/2nd variant AND THIS IS ONOTHER VARIANT, i will pay atenttion on price to break level 106,20 with stops above 106,50.

#1896    Feb 6, 2008 3:26am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

:wave: everyone!!!! I forgot, that you have the night at this time... But nevertheles good morning!!! When you will get up

#1897    Feb 6, 2008 3:41am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by money Hello serega, how are you, i just have one question, from where are this pictures, which book? tnx in advance The book Glenn Neely "Mastering Elliott Wave". To my mind here you can find more systematic material about waves. In this book waves + time+ fibo, that can give good results, i think so

#1898    Feb 6, 2008 5:13am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

AUD/USD Attached Thumbnails

#1899    Feb 6, 2008 5:15am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Triangles for aud/usd count Attached Thumbnails

#1900    Feb 6, 2008 10:11am

ronnimar Member Member Since Dec 2006 7 Posts

serega. maybe if we will take a higher time frame we can see thing clearer ?! Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 6, 2008 10:17am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

UPDATE ............TIME //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// --------------------------------------------------------------------- -First trade set up for this week --------------------------------------------------------------------- The Usd/Yen - 2nd Target has been met ............Gain+ 57 points today -------------------------------------------------------------------- Original Post ............... Post #1888 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=125 /////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// --------------------------------------------------------------------- -Second trade set up for this week --------------------------------------------------------------------- The Usd/Cad - No Target has been met ............Loss- 22 points today -------------------------------------------------------------------- Original Post ............... Post #1880 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=126 ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ----------------------------------------------------------------- NO HINDSITE , NO OSCILLATORS , NO NEWS , & NO MEETINGS ----------------------------------------------------------------- It's all in the chart's ............... Attached Thumbnails

#1902    Feb 6, 2008 10:33pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Hey Sergea. Take a look at USDJPY. Does it not look like a possible Neutral Triangle or a Diametric? Take a look at it and tell me what you think. I did get your word document! BTW, the forum is ALMOST UP. I had to fix the attachments so taht people can easily attach their charts and I'm working on implementing the name. Will update you guys as soon as it becomes available. Attached Thumbnails    Last edited by s3padrian, Feb 6, 2008 11:46pm

#1903    Feb 7, 2008 2:30am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Hello S3padrian !!! I suppose such variant. I see neutral triangle in supposial b wave. But wave analysis gives us only probabilities Attached Thumbnails

#1904    Feb 7, 2008 2:47am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Eur/Usd Been trying to post but this forum has not been working properly yesterday all day ........Why ? --------------------------------------------------------------- Eur/Usd Probable Wave-count .......... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone ! ------------------------------------------------------------------

#1905    Feb 7, 2008 2:52am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Nzd/Usd Probable Wave -count .......... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !

hefeiddd

Feb 7, 2008 3:02am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Cad Probable Wave -count .......... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone ! --------------------------------------------------------- ( I will update this chart tommorow -) Gotta get some sleep ... Attached Thumbnails

#1907    Feb 7, 2008 11:52am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

It looks like the variant with neutral triangle on usd/jpy start working .but to say smth is early.

#1908    Feb 7, 2008 11:57am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Marketwavez, I think your variant on usd/cad is good, and you'll see profit tomorrow on news of Canada (unemployment change) if it will be bad of course for canadian economic. Otherwise ...

#1909    Feb 7, 2008 1:18pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega It looks like the variant with neutral triangle on usd/jpy start working .but to say smth is early. I think we're right about the Neutral triangle. Especially with today's rally. My question is if this is C ...what are Neely's predictions of C after a Neutral Triangle?

#1910    Feb 7, 2008 1:35pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Hello S3padrian I suppose its C. Going for my profit Attached Thumbnails

#1911    Feb 7, 2008 1:44pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

http://www.neowave.com/qow/qow-archive-76.asp Quote: Originally Posted by s3padrian I think we're right about the Neutral triangle. Especially with today's rally. My question is if this is C ...what are Neely's predictions of C after a Neutral Triangle? Here is the answer on your question about the thrust after neutral triangle http://www.neowave.com/qow/qow-archive-76.asp

#1912    Feb 7, 2008 2:06pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Gbp/Jpy Probable Wave -count .......... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone !

#1913    Feb 7, 2008 2:28pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

We're up! www.waveace.com come on in and tell me what you think!

#1914    Feb 7, 2008 2:39pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by s3padrian We're up! www.waveace.com come on in and tell me what you think! Adrian , ( this can be seen as a promotion for your forum ) ---------------------------------------------------------------- The moderators can look at this as if you are breaking the forum rules in here and in turn give you an infraction ............. So , Please don't post this link anymore ....... I for one enjoy and appreciate your posts - and wouldn't want to see you go ------------------------------------------------------------------ Just Post your thouhgts in here : or start a thread of your own You will get feedback ,.....We will respond to you .... Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 1:25am

#1915    Feb 7, 2008 2:41pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Its my variant of GBP/JPY. Are we are going up, Marketwavez? Attached Thumbnails

#1916    Feb 7, 2008 3:09pm

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

so we should be looking to short USDJPY soon/now?

#1917    Feb 7, 2008 3:27pm

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Eur/Usd/ Wow!............ Success ! .................... Here's how Yesterday's projection has now turned out Both targets have been reached ---------------------------------------------------------- See Original Post : Post #1905 http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=20436&page=127 Time to go play golf,,,,,,, --------------------------------- ( Double click on chart to enlarge ) Attached Thumbnails

#1918    Feb 7, 2008 3:46pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Congratulations Marketwavez I see you have good days. Good luck

#1919    Feb 8, 2008 2:17am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Thanx alot for that ........... ------------------------------------ Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 2:45am

#1920    Feb 8, 2008 2:33am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

This is an open Forum : - a place to see what others are thinking ....... ( otherwise you shouldn't be in here ) -Forums like these are just a place to exchange thoughts and Ideas ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// These charts are put here to give a visual premise : - So you see what is being talked about visually ,........ ------------------------------------------------------------- All wave-counts are to be respected in here If you don't agree,,,,,,,,,,,,That's Ok - Just post your charts and state your case ! ----------------------------------------------------------- Time will then tell all ..................

hefeiddd

Feb 8, 2008 2:42am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by marketwavez Usd/Cad Probable Wave -count .......... ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Only a Probability ! ............. Not Cast in Stone ! --------------------------------------------------------- ( I will update this chart tomorrow -) Gotta get some sleep ... This is the update to the Usd/Cad as promised ..... ( See Original chart posted just above ) Now Looking for Price Action to push toward an " End of Wave 5 " ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Last edited by marketwavez, Feb 8, 2008 2:54am

#1922    Feb 8, 2008 7:42am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/ Cad UPDATE TIME : ---------------------------------------------------- Oops ! ................... Somethings in the News must have just caused this movement ! ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

#1923    Feb 8, 2008 10:12am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Cad - News Article --------------------------------

#1924    Feb 10, 2008 9:25am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

:wave: everybody!!!! Eur/gbp. Two variants red and black. It is not forecast, it is possible variants of movement of the pair in future. I stands on that pair will go up to 0.77 Good luck Attached Thumbnails

#1925    Feb 10, 2008 9:41am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Just possible variant Attached Thumbnails

#1926    Feb 11, 2008 10:42am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Looks like the Neutral Triangle is holding up, but that (c) just doesn't cut it for me. I'm still shorting highs though. Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 11, 2008 2:45pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

GBP/USD 15 MIN. The dreams of my mind Good luck guys Attached Thumbnails

#1929    Feb 12, 2008 12:29pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Gbp 30 min. Update. Cable reached the first target. Tomorrow inflation report and it should be taken into consideration!!!!! Besides core cpi USA. Attached Thumbnails

#1930    Feb 12, 2008 12:56pm

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega Gbp 30 min. Update. Cable reached the first target. Tomorrow inflation report and it should be taken into consideration!!!!! Besides core cpi USA. Hello serega, it looks like the counting that we talk about last week is finnaly confirmed. many pips

#1931    Feb 12, 2008 3:32pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by money Hello serega, it looks like the counting that we talk about last week is finnaly confirmed. many pips I hope you are also satisfied

#1932    Feb 12, 2008 3:48pm

money Multiple Usernames Member Since Jul 2007   106 Posts

gbp_usd yes, i am very stasifite I really hope for higher and higher up trend, we are very closely on counting here. just samll differences... anyway here is my picture.

#1933    Feb 12, 2008 4:21pm

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

money i supose that todays low - is the zero point for impuls up. I have another variant, that today we had the 1 wave and tomorrow we may expect 3 wave, because i like to combine news with impulses, so inflation report can be a good reason for 3 wave. Besides I was looking through gbp/aud, and it seems to me it also is looking up

#1934    Feb 12, 2008 5:23pm

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURUSD 2 views on the EURUSD Candlestick chart shows the anomalies in a triangle on the 4th wave. But the line chart shows a set of fitting trendlines to visualize a triangle. 3 targets proposed based on the triangle height start from the wave "e" end TP@ 1.5042 start at breakout from triangle TP @ 1.5364 If we use the FIB Extention Tool to Project based on the Guideline of Extention..... TP @ FE 61.8 @ 1.5497 If Based on the Guideline of Equality TP range is almost same as the Height of the triangle. EG PS. Thank you to everyone who kept posting their EW charts here. Attached Thumbnails          __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 13, 2008 3:22am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

gbp/usd 15 min update Attached Thumbnails

#1937    Feb 13, 2008 3:32am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Learntocount I seriously doubt this post will last for long, so I hope a few get to read it before it goes away forever...I got my status back....I came here after a long search for a forum without Marketwavez on it...after searching and searching I thought I had found it....unfortunately, I saw a thread he had started and figured this was going to suck, just like the other forums...my one saving grace I thought was that I had been able to get 1k status, a place I know MW could never be since he doesn't trade live. although I found it odd no one ever asked for any verification of my experience...I just wrote a story that could have been true or not and I got my vouches........I saw the same pattern over the next few weeks and seeing some of the things posted by some 1k traders I realized it wasn't a designation for an experienced trader it was for anyone with a story.......thus guys like MW's also got it even though they don't even trade live........have any of you ever sat down and figured out how many trades 1000 is??? for most it would take at least 3 to 4 years of live trading to get there.......has anyone ever met an unprofitable live trader after 1000 live trades? I would submit to you, you have not, but that is the "excuse" that has been adopted for traders that know almost nothing.....I questioned a few peoples experience and the pat answer was 1000k status has nothing to do with being profitable.....well my friends, if a guy has 1000 live trades and is not profitable, he should sit down, read, and shut up........I for one don't need to be privy to someone like thats "knowledge" is that harsh? I'm sorry, but who in here doesn't know it's right?? for the two or three guys in here that have a really good clue on trading, I enjoyed our conversations and would love to stay in contact, you know who you are......for the rest, good luck and instead of a successful money manager to ask questions concerning the EW......you have MW's counts........unfortunately this is always the way these things go, the guys that don't NEED this stuff leave and the guys that can't trade are left to beat thier chests and try to convince people they are hot stuff........ More trash talk about Marketwavez ...... But why ? .................. --------------------------------------------------------- There is no absoluetly no reason for this kind of talk......ever This is Rude and Provoking //////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Learntocount this is your very first post since you were banned from this forum and it has to be in a negative tone ...... Again, why ? -------------------------------------------------------------- Why can't you just post your posts and say positive things ? Why is this so difficult for you to do ? -----------------------------------------------------------------

#1938    Feb 13, 2008 3:34am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Let's make this clear : It is Learntocount that went into the marketwavez thread first and said theses awfull things , This is the truth of the matter , -------------------------------------------------------------- Is Marketwavez not to respond to them ?: ----------------------------------------------------------------- Again, it is Learntocount that first went into Marketwavez thread and wrote things about him that are Rude and Ill-Mannered to say the least , ......and then followed Marketwavez here to Eg's thread and the same this past weekend continuing to post in a negative in an Ill-Mannerd way. Marketwavez was simply responding to all this Trash-Talk posted by Learntocount , the best way he could ………….! ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Marketwavez has never said anything in a negative tone about Learntocount --------------------------------------------------------------------------

#1939    Feb 13, 2008 3:37am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

No-one appreciates being talked to in this way - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When Learntocount talks like that … - It is Extremely Disruptive and becomes Problematic ! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The moderators simply want us to “ conduct ourselves as professionals” and say positive things - Just As Merlin the moderator has so eloquently said none of his most recent post and this is also one of this Forum’s main Rules ! //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// This is probably the reason why Learntocount was banned , -simply for consistently saying negative things in his posts that are Provoking ….. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- That's all there really is to it ! //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Here is the link where it alll started on Jan 1st 2008 Click Here ... Scroll down to Post #44 http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...t=11710&page=3 This is Nasty and Disruptive !..... Just absolutely awful ............. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Anyway , At first I ignored this ugly post about me by Learntocount that he made in my thread back in early January ! then all of a sudden , Learntocount started up again this weekend and caused this Big Stink ! See it all here Right Here : Start at Post # 1679 http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...20436&page=112

#1940    Feb 13, 2008 3:57am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

MW take it easy...

#1941    Feb 13, 2008 5:30am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

Invitation Let us all get back to Elliott Wave Counting. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1942    Feb 13, 2008 5:37am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

These are the Eur/Usd charts ........... from earlirer today , before all the arguing (Trying to update ) --------------------------------------------------- Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 13, 2008 5:42am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

These are the Usd/Yen charts ........... from earlirer today , before all the arguing Price action moving toward an End of Wave C (Trying to update ) -------------------------------------------------- Attached Thumbnails

#1944    Feb 13, 2008 5:45am

marketwavez Senior Member Member Since Nov 2006   768 Posts

Usd/Yen Eg ............ This is the Usd/Yen going into tomorrow's US Day Session ------------------------------------------------------------------ I'm a little frustrated right now , please excuse me little tired now , will be back tomorow morning ............ Attached Thumbnails

#1945    Feb 13, 2008 7:41am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Money just another profit

#1946    Feb 14, 2008 1:04am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EG Thoughts on EURUSD EURUSD_021408 Last night I was looking at the EURUSD chart basically without the indicators. The charts I posted earlier in the day yesterday somehow bothered me. I know I admitted that the spike on that move to 1.4949 somehow disrupted the proposed Symmetrical Triangle. So I switched to the line chart and got the barrier triangle. But still I was not that satisfied yesterday. The wave structures have not been that obvious to make me really confident on those wave counts. **** insert the 2 charts here Symmetrical triangle Barrier Triangle Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1947    Feb 14, 2008 1:07am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURUSD Thoughts Part 2 NextPost Let me break this down on a per wave or leg basis. Wave 4 was initially thought of to have a Zigzag structure because wave 2 was a complex sideways corrective wave. So that when price fell from 1.4966 into a 3 wave structure which resulted in nearly a C=A, This some how qualified as a Zigzag and therefore gave weight that this was a good possibility. Although, time-wise, I believe many had doubts that this wave 4 was over. while time consideration was bearing some weight on the possibility of a wave 4 still in a developing mode, the next option was a a triangle or a complex sideways expanding wave which could either be a bigger Zigzag or a big FLAT complex corrective wave. The move UP after that zigzag down was anticipated to be a 5 wave structure. As it turned out , it was more like a 3 wave structure before it turned around and made a dive again. That move up retraced more than 88% of the previous down wave (zigzag). In a guideline I came across, alternating legs within a 5 wave triangle should be 62-88% of previous leg. We can now see on the 2nd chart that this has somehow not been followed or met. ****insert 001c here to show the legs of the triangle percentage retrace and the internal wave structure. A = is a Zigzag B = looks 3 wave in structure, but retraced A by about 92% C = could be 3 or 5 wave in structure and it retraced B by about 90% of B D = seems 3 wave in structure but has retraced more than 100% of C E = seems to be 5 wave in structure but it could still be counted as 3 If we draw the trendlines based on the tops and bottoms of each wave, this is were we find discrepancies for the proposed patterns. 1st on the Symmetrical triangle a downward resistance trendline and an upward support trendline should converge based on the tops and bottoms of the legs. However, we see that wave D reached 1.4949 piercing ir violating the downward resistance trendline. Aside from this, it has also retraced wave C by more than 100%. So I should start questioning my own previous analysis.. 2nd option was the switching to the line chart for some guidance. Here I saw the possibility of the Barrier triangle. A barrier triangle still has 5 legs in it but sport a 33333 wave internal structure. So this may still be good for my wave count. Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1948    Feb 14, 2008 1:08am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURUSD Thoughts Part3 **** 3rd post Somehow, I missed the other potential wave count. I was so engrossed with the triangle wave count. I have been seeing forecasts which were supposed to be based on EW Count. However I could not see a turn by turn wave count development. These forecasts or analyis were either made in Dec 2008 were EURUSD was forecasted to drop down to 1.38. or current wave counts which focused on just the last 1 or 2 legs and do not treat a bigger scope of the wave. We had a zigzag then and this series of legs which looked like legs of a triangle. And somehow these people who made that forecast last December have stopped and turned quiet all this time. Now I have been reading some more and looking into other EW reference materials ( Robert Balan ) in particular, I then realized I must be missing something out there. Then I reviewed Prechter’s book also on the Guideline of Alternation within a Corrective wave where it is stated: “ The “A” wave sets the tone for the “B” wave to follow. A five-wave “A” indicates a zigzag for “B”, while a three-wave “A” indicates a FLAT or a Triangle” If we look at the 4 hour EURUSD chart again, I then realized the new potential wave count whch somehow would close the GAP on information on the fundamental side of things. I am talking about people and that includes me wondering how come EUR is seen to be getting stronger and stronger as the USD is into what is thought as in a recession. And GBPUSD seems to be going lower. This looks like very amateurish take on what is happening or you can accuse me of rationalizing to support this new potential EW count for EURUSD. But the point is, this is what I am seeing as a new potential on my EW Count for EURUSD. So here goes…. 3 waves down from 1.4966 is a Zigzag wave A ( 3 wave structure ) followed by a B-FLAT which is a bit short of the required C = A within a FLAT wave. But the internal wave counts of this proposed B Flat may hold or may be valid. So the current move down from 1.4949 which I see as being a 5 wave impulsive motive structure could be considered as wave 1 of the wave C down. Proposed target for the end of wave C down is @ FE 161.8@ 1.3880. This should give the pair more time to dance in tune with the rest of the other forex pairs. **** insert the C chart here to show the forecast for the wave C down @ FE161.8 Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Feb 14, 2008 1:21am

hefeiddd

Feb 15, 2008 12:42am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPJPY Here is the short term set up of my GBPJPY. Looking at the FIB Extention Tool, we see that wave C Blue has exceeded the FE 161.8. So it is very likely that tjhis is not an ABC for a wave 4 but most probably a reversal in the short to medium term. Granting that we consider this as one of those rare occasions when C = 261.8 A, then wave 5 red target will be seen to coincide with Daily R2 @ 214.64 up to Daily R3 @ 215.41 The magenta lines you see on the chart are tests for possible wedge and triangulation forecasts which basically point to a possible downward movement on this pair. However when you analyze how price has been contained within the Linear Regression Channel and the potential EW count, Plus price location in relation to Pivot levels, I would a a higher bias for an upward move for this pair. a. Price is above the weekly pivot - Bullish b. Price seems to be at the end of a wave 4 within a wave 3 on the m30 chart. Wave 5 up will result to Bullishness for this pair. c. Price has exceeded the usual standar maximum for a corrective wave C = 161.8 of A. Leading me to think that this is an impulsive wave and not a corrective wave. SO if this is an Impulsive wave and the direction is upward, then , I would have to be bias for the Long trades. d. Price hovering the Daily Pivot Level @ 212.69. Oscillators seem to be pointing up. More bullishness bias. Because this pair makes wide swings, I would have to be careful to note the following: a. price falling below that channel @ 212.20 b. price breaching 211.51 c. price breaching 210.74 d. price breaching 209.07 Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1953    Feb 15, 2008 12:56am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY Bear I will have to apologize for a rather generalize view on the EURJPY early this morning. Attached is the EW chart for this pair as I see it now. You will note that most of the wave 2s have wave Bs that are longer than wave As. I think this is still within the guideline for Irregular FLAT corrective waves as these wave Bs have not exceeded the 131.8% of wave As. So not you will see on the m30 chart that price now looks like it is going up for the wave 5. Then like the scenarion on the GBPJPY, what we consider as a potential wave C has exceeded the FE 161.8 relation to wave A. So again this is more likely an impulsive wave up for me. I hope this helps. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1954    Feb 15, 2008 12:57am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

Here's my USDJPY update. My favorite pair :-D Attached Thumbnails

#1955    Feb 15, 2008 1:04am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY_most likely for me now I have a bias for the following Count on the attached charts. These charts are dancing to the tune of the oscillators. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 15, 2008 1:18am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURUSD EW and the Wedge plus a complex WXY corrective wave on the EURUSD EG Attached Thumbnails    __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1957    Feb 15, 2008 1:30am

Beartrade Most Truth is rather dogmatic... Member Since Dec 2007   72 Posts

Something to consider What I'm seeing with the EJ charts and ED charts that you have posted really gives me the impression of a fairly steep decline in both soon. The EJ chart in terms of simple pattern recognition a bearish "flag" . That would fall in line whith your current thinking on the ED as well. Because in my experience these two move in close association with one another. Also, as you have pointed out, many of the indicators are indicating and overbought status on almost all time frames. Just my thoughts Lawrence a.k.a The Bear

#1958    Feb 15, 2008 2:10am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURJPY My Bad. please disregard the post I just deleted. Wave 2 was an Irregular FLAT on this EURJPY Chart. So we should be seeing a Zigzag or a Triangle wave 4 otherwise a nother complex corrective wave for wave 4. This could still be that other count which could support a Zigzag down for the wave 4. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1959    Feb 15, 2008 2:20am

Beartrade Most Truth is rather dogmatic... Member Since Dec 2007   72 Posts

EG u are awesome Dedicated and driven are two words i could use to describe you. But please dont kill yourself over the eur/jpy chart. I know it isnt one of your regular pairs... Many thanks for your extensive work though Lawrence a.k.a the bear

#1960    Feb 15, 2008 5:12am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Cable reached my targets and turned around. Now I should take a look south

#1961    Feb 15, 2008 5:19am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

It looks like Cable formed zero point Attached Thumbnails

#1962    Feb 18, 2008 5:37am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

:wave: everybody:wave: Are we in 3 wave in cable or just a-b-c? Attached Thumbnails

hefeiddd

Feb 20, 2008 12:02am

s3padrian Member Member Since Apr 2007 373 Posts

here we gooooooooo Attached Thumbnails

Feb 20, 2008 10:46am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Quote: Originally Posted by Serega :wave: everybody:wave: Are we in 3 wave in cable or just a-b-c? Bingo!!!!! Cable reached my profit!!! But it wasnt neither 3 wave nor a-b-c. It looks like a-b-c-x-a Now I will wait for end of configuration and the point for long cable Attached Thumbnails

#1972    Feb 21, 2008 7:41pm

fxdoc Member Member Since Nov 2007 137 Posts

Cable My target for C wave swingup is 1.9983 (C=A) next week. But today, cable may retrace wave (1) of C to 1.9545/1.9500 Have a nice day !

#1973    Feb 22, 2008 12:47am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPUSD Quote: Originally Posted by fxdoc My target for C wave swingup is 1.9983 (C=A) next week. But today, cable may retrace wave (1) of C to 1.9545/1.9500 Have a nice day ! 61.8% retrace on the 4hr chart is @ 1.9484 70.7% @ 1.9456 Stochastics on 4hr chart is about ready to cross its signals and come down. Looks good to me fxdoc. Welcome to the thread. EG update: sorry about that. I edited above post as I made an error in earlier post. I must have been looking at a different fib __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Feb 22, 2008 1:21am

#1974    Feb 22, 2008 1:31am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

Eur/usd daily Attached Thumbnails

#1975    Feb 22, 2008 2:15am

fxdoc Member Member Since Nov 2007 137 Posts

GBPUSD Quote: Originally Posted by fxdoc My target for C wave swingup is 1.9983 (C=A) next week. But today, cable may retrace wave (1) of C to 1.9545/1.9500 Have a nice day ! Thank you EG for your Welcome message. I combine my EWA with pivots and today 's daily pivot is 1.9557 S1 = 1.9475 close to the 61.8% fib.

#1976    Feb 22, 2008 2:52am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

notes. __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS Last edited by el grande, Feb 23, 2008 1:57am

#1977    Feb 22, 2008 3:27am

Serega Member Member Since Jun 2007 162 Posts

usd/cad 30 min. Before canadian retail sales Attached Thumbnails

#1978    Feb 22, 2008 5:27am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

EURUSD EURUSD seems bullish still unless it falls below 1.4790 otherwise 1.5040 looks ripe for the picking. 1.4925 1.5010 1.5050 EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1979    Feb 22, 2008 5:32am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPJPY GBPJPY short term could still see this down to 209.77 down to 209.50 otherwise it can first go up to 213 which is where a 1/2 median line provides a possible resistance for the upward move for GBPJPY. EG __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1980    Feb 22, 2008 8:12am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPUSD Here is my GBPUSD view Daily Chart If you do EW, then you can use this to count 5 waves UP and project end of wave C UP of wave 4 Corrective FLAT wave ABC. EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

hefeiddd

Feb 25, 2008 8:23am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPJPY GBPJPY Charts for 022508 EG Attached Thumbnails       __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS

#1982    Feb 25, 2008 10:11am

el grande Latagaw FOREX_ EWA Member Since Nov 2006   1,793 Posts

GBPJPY 4 hour charts GBPJPY EWA Chart Weekly Chart ABC or 123 Based on the FIB Extention Guideline, C can only be up to FE 161.8 of points w0 wA and wB. Beyond FE 161.8 , we instead have a 5 wave impulse or a very complex corrective wave. As it is on the GBPJPY chart, the potential of an ABC is still on the table. So we move on to the Daily chart because we would be focusing on the wave C leg now. Based on the structure, I would say that w1 and w2 are finished in Green label. But wave 3 Green seems to be still in development as an extended impulse wave. Sub waves within this extended green wave 3, are labeled in Red. The current sideways expansion on the daily chart seems to be still the wave 4 red of the extended wave 3 Green. a.) this wave 4 red has retraced wave 3 red by around 38.2% which fits into the guideline of alternation. Wave 2 retraced by a little above 61.8% of wave 1 so that there is a higher tendency for wave 4 to retrace by the balance of the 100% percentage point. This means if wave 2 retraces wave 1 by 61.8% then expect wave 4 to retrace wave 3 by 61.8% or vice versa. b.) wave 2 retraced wave 1 by what looks like a zigzag wave so by the guideline of alternation also, wave 4 is expected to be a FLAT or a Triangle. A zigzag will normally result in a 61.8% retracement while a FLAT or a triangle would result to a 38.2 or a 23.6% retracement. Currently, the 4hour chart would show that price has retrace wave 3 red by a little above 38.2% . c.) I am labelling the move starting from 213.86 down to 208.75 as w1 of the wave 5 red down to finish the bigger wave 3 Green towards 197.85 Overall I am more biased that this pair will go down to finish the wave 5 red of wave 3 Green. Unless it takes out the previous high of 211.93 which it just did right now as I type. Next target is most likely 213.83. This is based on the 4 hour chart with that 4 hour resistance trendline. I have just placed my Long trade now even if goes the other way ( could be a possible big drawdown as it comes down to complete Wave 3 green). But the interest will be good on this one. Price will eventually have to come back up for the wave 4 Green. EGJ Attached Thumbnails          __________________ EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS