一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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Merrill Lynch (MER):


MicroStrategy (MSTR):


Research in Motion (RIMM):


Textron (TXT):

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Textron (TXT):


Exxon Mobil (XOM):


Have a good weekend. To most of you, at least.
at 2/09/2007 7 insightful comments
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Labels: $indu, $spx, azo, bsc, cof, cog, gs, mer, mstr, rimm, txt, xom

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Thursday, February 08, 2007Double Top
In honor of the late we will direct our attention to another artificially-inflated bubble without much intellect behind it which no one thinks will die so young: the U.S. stock market.

The $VIX is forming a pretty decent inverted head and shoulders pattern. I've drawn the neckline here. Clearly it would be beneficial for the bears for the $VIX to push its way above this neckline, thus completing the pattern.


The S&P 500 remains beneath its broken trendline. The huge divergence between the price action and the indicator is quite intact, with today finally registering a small downturn in the market after several days of doing basically nothing.


Much the same can be said of the Dow 30.


John Deere (DE) is at the top of a sharping ascending channel.


And Cummins (CMI), mentioned here recently, has put in a possible double top.


I put Boston Properties here (BXP) not to suggest it, but merely to marvel. It's incredible - simply incredible. Much came be same for any of the components of the Real Estate group (wasn't there supposed to be a deflating bubble? Guess that's just residential....)

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I put Boston Properties here (BXP) not to suggest it, but merely to marvel. It's incredible - simply incredible. Much came be same for any of the components of the Real Estate group (wasn't there supposed to be a deflating bubble? Guess that's just residential....)


Bear Stearns (BSC) is finally losing a bit of its steam.


Aetna is obeying its Fibonacci retracement very nicely.


Reynolds Aluminum (RAI), also mentioned here recently, is dipping

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Reynolds Aluminum (RAI), also mentioned here recently, is dipping.


MTW seems to be in a series of lower highs and lower lows - often the makings of a good short position.


MTH looks like it has fully retraced to the neckline of its head and shoulder pattern.


And the same can be said of MDC.

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And the same can be said of MDC.


The DJ Real Estate (IYR) equity is breathtakingly high - - which just goes to show stocks sometimes have no trouble defying their resistance lines!


at 2/08/2007 13 insightful comments
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Labels: $indu, $spx, $vix, aet, bsc, bxp cmi, de, iyr, mdc, mth, mtw, rai


Wednesday, February 07, 2007The Chunda from Down Unda
today's breakout, it looks better than ever!


Sigh. I'd love to show more charts, but it would just be more of the same. Maybe something will rattle and roll tomorrow. Until then.........g'day!


at 2/07/2007 19 insightful comments
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Tuesday, February 06, 2007Much Ado
This will be a relatively short post, simply because there's just not a heck of a lot going on the markets. Tons of stocks have basically "straight up" type patterns, and as great as that is for owners of those stocks, it doesn't make a lot of fodder for discussing trend changes or breakdowns.

I mentioned Carnival recently, and this one is behaving as expecting. Look at how "obedient" it was with respect to its trendline.


Capital One has been confounding me for a while, but this has pushed up high enough that it could represent both a press against resistance as well as a double top. Good short possibility.


Hansen (HANS) is fascinating to me since it's clinging to its Fib fan line like there's no tomorrow. I am not taking any position on this, but when it breaks away from this line, the move is going to be fast.


NVR is relatively thinly traded, but past history seems to suggest it obeys its Fib retracements really well, so this might be a good short-term bearish play.

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NVR is relatively thinly traded, but past history seems to suggest it obeys its Fib retracements really well, so this might be a good short-term bearish play.


Do a search for "BankRate" in this blog, and you'll see I've mentioned it as a bullish play on many past occasions. It took another big leg up today on handsome volume.


at 2/06/2007 11 insightful comments
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Monday, February 05, 2007Charts - What Else?
The Dow was up a whopping .07% today, so it wasn't exactly a barnburner of a day on the market. But there's always a few charts to look at, right?

Anderson (ANDE), one of the few bullish charts I've been posting lately, continues to inch toward its potential breakout point (the horizontal line I've drawn).


I'm seeing a lot of big oil stocks shaping up as potential shorts; BHI looks particularly good.


EMC has been in a trading range for literally years. It seems to be at the upper end of it. This makes for a relatively low-risk bearish play.


I've been mentioning SHLD for quite a while, but I've got to hand it to the bulls, this has pushed above resistance. It's a really sharp looking cup with handle pattern. The big bursts of volume have definitely been dying down (see trendline on the volume chart), but that isn't particularly significant.

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I've been mentioning SHLD for quite a while, but I've got to hand it to the bulls, this has pushed above resistance. It's a really sharp looking cup with handle pattern. The big bursts of volume have definitely been dying down (see trendline on the volume chart), but that isn't particularly significant.


I was (very profitably) short the NZD/USD, and now I'm in a contratrend position - - I'm long for the moment, but definitely not for the long haul. Nothing ever goes straight down, and this fell so quickly and sharply I am looking for a very modest rise before re-entering the short.


I have no position on NutriSystem (NTRI), but I'm presenting this graph simply as a suggestion that it might be OK for a short-term bullish play. It may recover back to its neckline (where it fell to pieces in a matter of 3 days). This is a relatively high risk trade, however. Plenty of stocks that are "broken" like this really never recover.


I don't know what MSFT is doing (although my puts on it happily rose). Maybe Vista is getting a "so what?" from enough places that expectations are dying down. I, for one, have no reason to upgrade.

[ 本帖最后由 hefeiddd 于 2009-5-4 13:39 编辑 ]

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