一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:25

五月 21, 2009 - 10:00 上午Are Gold's Best Days Ahead?

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五月 21, 2009 - 09:29 上午Ultrashort Real EstateSorry to keep pounding the SRS drum, but this is a really fine looking chart to me.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:26

五月 21, 2009 - 08:09 上午In Order for the Fall to PERSIST..........

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五月 21, 2009 - 06:19 上午The Graph of FrustrationI think the market has decided to simply drive everyone, bulls and bears alike, completely out of their minds.
This chart of the /ES, not even the length of a day, captures it nicely. The bulls have a nice run-up, break out of the yellow consolidation pattern, and look ready to kick butt. The bears (including me) freak out and figure it's time to start getting on board. Then everything falls to pieces.

Added to which, the bears might say, "Phew! This countertrend rally is over! Time to rock 'n' roll!" But this is, by my measure, the three thousand five hundred and sixty-first time this "turnaround" could be declared in the past eleven weeks.
The bottom line is that it's getting very difficult to commit to either direction since both sides are getting faked out on virtually a daily basis.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:27

五月 20, 2009 - 07:56 下午Hmmmm......Having bought a goodly amount of USO early on Wednesday, this glance at the updated crude oil chart makes me a skosh nervous. USO looks great, but the run-up to that Fibonacci gives me the heeby-jeebies, technically speaking.

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五月 20, 2009 - 03:30 下午Fan MailMy portfolio across four accounts has, overall, been "running in place" for more weeks than I care to count. It's really boring, and really monotonous. Plus it's a lot of work just to hold my ground! That's why I've been moaning for a sustained trend. I'm glad to have prevented overall losses through all this insanity, but I want growth across all my portfolios. Grrr!
One interesting thing going on now - - and today is a fine example - - is how the /ES, in spite of punching into unsettling new highs, has seem to have lost its way. It's not really moving higher anymore in any sustained fashion.

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I am hearing from many people whom I respect deeply - - some of them well-know bloggers - - that this market is driving them nuts and they are tempted to just walk away for the summer. I can understand the sentiment.
If you're frustrated............if you're being driven crazy by this market............at least rest assured you are not alone.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:28

五月 20, 2009 - 01:00 下午Worth the Wait, 3 of 3

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God willing, I am out of surgery now and will do a post-market post once the sedatives have worn off.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:28

五月 20, 2009 - 12:00 下午Worth the Wait, 2 of 3

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:30

五月 20, 2009 - 11:00 上午Worth the Wait, 1 of 3If all goes well, this post (and the two to follow) will magically appear while I am under the knife, undergoing the world's first brain transplant. Here are some stocks I think will be superb shorts once they get up a bit higher. They are worth watching.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:30

月 20, 2009 - 08:48 上午The Plunging VIXThe shrinking VIX is heading for the low 20s. Current VIX values represent typical levels seen before any of the financial crisis even started happening.

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五月 20, 2009 - 07:00 上午EUR/USD Headed for Upward BreakoutIf the horizontal line at 1.3739 gets broken to the upside (top of the tinted green area), I think we're headed to about where that horizontal blue line is drawn. This would probably be a big plus for precious metals and commodities.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:31

五月 19, 2009 - 12:00 下午Slick SLXI have repurposed this post - - originally it was a "throw the hands in the air and buy UWM" topic, but I've decided otherwise. I am no longer in TWM, but I'm not in UWM either. This market is making me uncharacteristically capricious.
Let me show one chart that has acted nicely and behaved to technical normalcy - - SLX.

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Well-behaved charts like this are getting to be few and far between, unfortunately. But you take what you can get.

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五月 19, 2009 - 10:00 上午SRS AgainI saw someone made a cutesy comment about "get out the dartboard again" with respect to SRS. I'm not sure what all the fuss is about. Did people think it was just going to explode higher? I pointed out a trend change (see green circle) which is still very much intact. If we break to new lows, sure, SRS gets thrown into the toilet again, but for now, I see a security which is trying to form a base.

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:32

五月 18, 2009 - 12:51 下午Some Favorite New Lottery Longs (2 of 2)

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:33

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:33

五月 18, 2009 - 12:14 下午Some Favorite New Lottery Longs (1 of 2)

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:42

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:45

五月 18, 2009 - 10:51 上午Is OIH's Rally Sustainable?I'll leave it to you to discuss!

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:46

五月 18, 2009 - 07:56 上午Oh Those Smart Slopers!

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hefeiddd · 发表于 2009-5-27 07:47

五月 18, 2009 - 05:43 上午A New Week BeginsHello Everyone,
When I called it a day yesterday, the /ES was down nearly 8 points, and when I woke up, it was up by an equal amount. But in spite of this bit of newfound strength, I still believe we're heading downward overall, with the low 800s my intermediate-term target for the S&P.

One thing I note with interest is that the EUR/USD is exhibiting a very clear H&S pattern on the minute bar chart, suggesting a tumble is imminent (which would mean a stronger dollar, weaker crude, stronger ERY).

As a reminder, my brain transplant toe surgery is this Wednesday, so I'll be out for most of that day.

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