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Will you play????

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发表于 2005-7-20 03:38 | 显示全部楼层
You have to pay $5 to play for the pot money (this is a  little gambling game). It is a fair game (for example a coin toss).  How much money has to be in the pot for you to play this game?
If you win, you get the money in the pot (the amount listed). If you lose, your $5 will be lost.  I will explain the underlined message later.

Enjoy!



Sorry that I can't type it in CHinese.   Someone please translate for me.
Xiao Ru?, YLIT? Flying eagle?...  THX!

[ Last edited by biobuck on 2005-7-20 at 03:49 ]
单选投票, 共有 13 人参与投票
7.69% (1)
7.69% (1)
7.69% (1)
0.00% (0)
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0.00% (0)
7.69% (1)
7.69% (1)
0.00% (0)
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7.69% (1)
53.85% (7)
您所在的用户组没有投票权限
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-20 13:44 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-7-20 03:38
You have to pay $5 to play for the pot money (this is a  little gambling game). It is a fair game (for example a coin toss).  How much money has to be in the pot for you to play this game?
If you  ...


biobuck博士是个大佬,他很有钱也喜欢玩而且会玩,希望大家陪他乐一把。

他说,他有一个罐子,罐子装着美钞,多少请您选择,就是以上他列的那几种。他保证这是一个公平的策略博弈游戏。方式是,你出5美刀(旁白:人民币就好了,我连一刀都没有,有没有朋友愿意借?),然后猜硬币,如果你赢了,你拿走罐子里的美钞,如果你输了,这5美刀归他。愿意玩的报上名来........
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-7-20 14:30 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by 大地飞鹰 at 2005-7-20 13:44

愿意玩的报上名来........ ...


No no, it is a hypothetical game.

The key is

How much money need to be in the pot in order for you to play this game?  ie. the minimum amount of money you can win while risking $5.
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-20 14:38 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-7-20 14:30


No no, it is a hypothetical game.

The key is

How much money need to be in the pot in order for you to play this game?  ie. the minimum amount of money you can win while risking $5.


噢,原来是假打撒。请你看一下,我提的三个问题。
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-20 14:54 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-7-20 14:30


No no, it is a hypothetical game.

The key is

How much money need to be in the pot in order for you to play this game?  ie. the minimum amount of money you can win while risking $5.


biobuck博士说,这仅仅是个假设游戏,兜着玩儿的。(旁白:假打就假打么,还假设...又不是写博士论文)
这个游戏的实质是,你要求罐子里装着多少钱才肯玩这个游戏,等于,你冒着5美刀风险的时候你的最低收益期望是多少。(旁白:简直把我们当小孩看了,什么都不懂么?抗议!)

http://bbs.macd.cn/viewthread.ph ... &extra=page%3D1
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-7-20 22:50 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by 大地飞鹰 at 2005-7-20 14:54


biobuck博士说,这仅仅是个假设游戏,兜着玩儿的。(旁白:假打就假打么,还假设...又不是写博士论文)
这个游戏的实质是,你要求罐子里装着多少钱才肯玩这个游戏,等于,你冒着5美刀风险的时候你的最低收益 ...


hahha, Nobody wants to play.. what is wrong with you guys?
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发表于 2005-7-21 01:00 | 显示全部楼层
If money in the Pot is more than (5/problility to win), the I would play, otherwise, I prefer to hold my own money, ha ha ha ........
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-21 10:08 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by YLIT at 2005-7-21 01:00
If money in the Pot is more than (5/problility to win), the I would play, otherwise, I prefer to hold my own money, ha ha ha ........


含蓄了点,竟然使用了虚拟拟语气,不知道能不能看得懂。我再翻译一次吧,直白一点:

YLIT说,在他不知道赢亏概率前提下,他拒绝参与游戏。
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-7-22 00:51 | 显示全部楼层

This has nothing to do with 赌博!

This is a poll aimed at accessing people's risk/reward toleration.  I will explain the result later if more people will cast vote.  If not enough votes, I will just give it up.

Only 3 votes?  YOu guys need to do better than this.  ;-)  Come on !  Cast the vote so that I can post a follow up analysis.
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-22 12:57 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by biobuck at 2005-7-22 00:51
This is a poll aimed at accessing people's risk/reward toleration.  I will explain the result later if more people will cast vote.  If not enough votes, I will just give it up.

Only 3 votes?  YO ...


呵呵呵,看见就想笑,还记得我说的话么?腔舌中国制造,逻辑非我族类。
你已经说的很清楚了,我们也已经明白了,这是一个风险/回报接受愿望调查。可是,我们为什么要主动接受你的调查?在你们那儿接受调查是一项近似于义务的概念,我们这儿不是。这是一种文化上的差异,很小很小,很有意思很有意思。你继续玩吧,需要什么的时候说一下。
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发表于 2005-7-22 17:09 | 显示全部楼层
>$100

i will play. but just one time.
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签到天数: 621 天

发表于 2005-7-22 17:26 | 显示全部楼层
$51-100
我的选择.
哈哈哈
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发表于 2005-7-23 00:45 | 显示全部楼层
i think biobuck is a chinese and within china.

he is just making a joke.

[ Last edited by james369 on 2005-7-23 at 00:50 ]
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行云流水话投资

发表于 2005-7-27 11:05 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by james369 at 2005-7-23 00:45
i think biobuck is a chinese and within china.

he is just making a joke.


我想也是。
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-7-30 14:18 | 显示全部楼层
Only 7 votes?  You guys make me SICK!  ;-)  Come on I went away for 1 week and you guys only managed 2 more votes?
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发表于 2005-7-30 14:33 | 显示全部楼层

I'm sure that Chiness haven't got the habit of voting.

ha
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发表于 2005-7-31 09:55 | 显示全部楼层
biobuck, if you type them in chinese I think maybe more ppl will vote for the thing (which you guys can call it gambling or whatever), you don't know how to type or you can not type in chinese ???
the easy way is type in english then translate them.

如果你能打中文的话我想会有更多的人来投票, 用翻译软件. :-) :-)
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-7-31 12:09 | 显示全部楼层

ilove2

I don't know how to type in chinese!  The only way that I can do  is the damn pin-ying inout method and since I haven't used chinese for ages I can't type fast enough to communicate.  If I want to express this message to you in chinese, It will take me at least 5 to 10 minutes to get it done. ;-(
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发表于 2005-8-5 02:07 | 显示全部楼层
use translate software then type a little, richwin or njstar or other kind you like
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 楼主| 发表于 2005-8-10 10:31 | 显示全部楼层

Oaky That is it!!! Here is the ANSWER!!

IF your answer is <=$10 meaning you are willing to bet $5 for the potentail winning of $1 to $5, you are likely high risk tolerate investors.  In general,  you have no problem take a loss, you understand it (loss) is part of the investment game and mentally you can handle the loss.  You are nature-borned trader and you just need to stick to your trading plan and have a good risk management stratagy.

If your answer is >$10, you are those  called risk-averted investors.  You absolutely HATE loss. The higher the number, the more you hate the loss.   Losing money  can get to your nerve and you can't get over with it( you lose sleep over it and you can't forget your loss).  Because you hate loss, you are so afraid of any losses.  You tend to hold onto your losing stocks and hoping the market will change and bail you out.  You are also likely to "average down" or try something even more  "risky" to "WIN BACK" your loss and you ended up losing more money!!!   You need to pay extra attendtion to the mental part of the investment.  Don't throw your "good" money into a "bad" investment (a losing stock).  Cut your loss (small) and let your profit run.  

Good Luck!
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