本帖最后由 xingjw 于 2019-8-18 23:30 编辑
INDIVIDUAL STOCKS:
I have told you before that you should not depend upon the Averages to forecast the trend of individual stocks. These Averages give you the general trend, and while many stocks will follow this average trend, you should figure out each stock individually and let its position on geometrical angles and time periods determine the different months in the year when the stock is likely to make many tops and bottoms. 我之前告诉过你,你不应该依赖平均值来预测个股的走势。 这些平均指数给出了总体趋势,虽然许多股票将遵循这一平均趋势,但您应该单独计算每只股票,并让它在几何角度和时间周期上的位置来确定股票在年度内可能形成顶部和底部的月份。
Take any individual stock and make up a chart like the Master Forecasting Chart, carrying it across 10 years or 20 years, and see how its tops and bottoms come out. I have made up a chart of the 10-year
cycles on U. S. Steel and also a chart of the 20-year cycles, and I am always glad to furnish these charts to students of my Course on Forecasting so that they may study the individual stocks and be convinced that the theory will work on an individual stock even better than it will work on the Averages. 选取任何单个股票,并制作一个类似主预测图表样式的图表,在10年或20年内进行,并看看它的顶部和底部是如何出现的。 我编制了一份10年周期的美国钢铁公司的图表以及20年周期的图表,我总是很高兴为我的预测课程的学生提供这些图表,以便他们可以研究个股并确信该理论适用于单个股票甚至比平均指数更加有效。
No man can study the Master 20-year Forecasting Chart and the cycles without being convinced that the time cycles do repeat at regular intervals and that it is possible to forecast future market movements. By studying Resistance Levels, Geometrical Angles, and Volume of Sales in connection with the Cycles, you can determine when the trend is changing at the end of campaigns.
如果你不能确定时间周期是否会定期重复并且确信未来的市场运动是可以预测的,你就不会去研究20年周期的主预测图表和运动的周期。 通过研究与周期相关的阻力位,几何角度和成交量,您就可以确定在市场活动结束时趋势何时将会改变。 |