Why China's crazy stock market is getting scary?

xdpf520

Why China's crazy stock market is getting scary?

来自：MACD论坛(bbs.macd.cn) 作者：xdpf520 浏览：22233 回复：6

Why China's crazy stock market is getting scary(为什么疯狂的中国股票令人害怕?)
Fill in the blank: In recent weeks, China's stock markets have __________________.

• A) Wiped out as much as $2 trillion of investors' wealth.
• B) Swung by as much as 10% in a matter of hours.
• C) Scared the living daylights out of millions of shareholders.
• D) All of the above.

• Here's what you need to know:

  1) First, relax -- at least for now. Unless you're reading this from China, you probably don't have much invested in these markets. Foreigners own just 1.5% of Chinese shares, according to Capital Economics. That number is growing, but only very gradually

• 2) For Chinese investors, however, it's been a very wild ride. The Shanghai Composite -- the world's third largest stock exchange if you add up the value of its companies -- has lost 24% since June 12. The bears are growling even louder on the smaller Shenzhen Composite, down roughly 30% in the same period..

• 3) Right, but those markets are still up for the year? Yes, that's true. The sharp losses follow a long bull run. The Shanghai Composite is still up 20% since Jan 1.

• file:///c:/documents and settings/administrator/application data/360se6/User Data/temp/150702170003-china-charts-7-2-780x439.png) Still, there's a lot of pain out there, especially among retail investors(散户）. Just 10% to 12% of Chinese households own shares, but a wave of newbie investors have flooded into the market this year. Brokers（券商） opened four million new accounts in a single week in April, according to BlackRock.

• 5) Analysts have come up with a bunch of theories to explain why the bubble burst（泡沫爆炸）. Here's the most compelling: Shares prices had got way ahead of economic growth -- now at its weakest since 2009 -- and company profits, which are actually lower than a year ago.

• 6) Particularly troubling is an explosion in margin trading. That's when investors buy stocks with borrowed money. When margin bets go sour, investors are forced to quickly pay back huge amounts of cash.

• 7) Things could get much worse. According to Oxford Economics, shares may have to fall another 35% or so to bring them into line with long-term averages.

• 8) Trouble in the stock market has the potential to ripple through the Chinese economy, the second biggest on the planet with trade ties to nearly every country. Another 30% fall would erase roughly $1 trillion in wealth. That could have a big impact far beyond China.

  9) Beijing is worried and is trying to prevent panic. The central bank has already cut interest rates to a record low. Market regulators have tried to reassure investors by blaming "irresponsible internet hearsay" and critical commentaries for "disturbing market order."

  10) Regulators have also launched an investigation into possible market manipulation. Criminal cases will be referred to security authorities, they said.

  11) But official moves could simply pump more air into the bubble, risking an even bigger crash. Regulators further relaxed rules on margin trading Thursday.

• 
  

xdpf520

7) Things could get much worse. According to Oxford Economics, shares may have to fall another 35% or so to bring them into line with long-term averages.
我相信旁观者清！老外这么说肯定有他们的道理
我不是做空

rsi2009

呵呵，你去查查过去十年国际投行对A股的预测，有没有一次是对的。

Corta48

Nothing to fear

期待明天哦

Shuode shi shenme？ Can you 解释一下？

thinkpadlong

中国疯狂的股市是越来越吓人（为什么疯狂的中国股票令人害怕？）
填空：在最近几周，中国股市__________________。
一）消灭了2000000000000美元的投资者的财富。
在几个小时内，有多达的人被甩了10%个。
c）吓得半死的数百万股东。
）上述所有。
这是你需要知道的：
1）首先，放松--至少现在是。除非你在中国读书，否则你可能在这些市场上没有多少投资。根据资本经济学的研究，外国人只持有中国股票的1.5%。这个数字正在增长，但只有非常逐渐
2）对于中国投资者来说，这是一个非常狂野的旅程。上海复合世界第三大证券交易所如果你增加其公司的价值-已经失去了自六月十二日以来的24%。熊在咆哮，更在规模较小的深圳组合，减少了约30%在同一时期。
3）对，但这些市场仍然是一年？是的，这是真的。一轮牛市的大幅亏损。上海复合材料自扬1以来仍上涨20%。
[ viewimg ]），会有很多痛苦了，尤其是散户投资者（散户）。只有10%到12%的中国家庭拥有股票，但一波新手投资者涌入今年进入市场。经纪人（券商）在四月单周新开四百万个账户，根据贝莱德。
5）分析师拿出一堆理论解释为什么泡沫破裂（泡沫爆炸）。这里最引人注目的是：股票价格在经济增长中遥遥领先，现在是在经济增长最为薄弱的2009个公司，而公司利润却低于去年同期的水平。
6）特别令人不安的是在保证金交易中发生爆炸。这是当投资者购买股票时借的钱。当利润率变酸时，投资者被迫迅速偿还巨额现金。
7）事情可能会变得更糟。根据牛津经济，股票可能会跌到另一个35%左右，以使其长期平均水平。
8）股票市场的麻烦，有可能通过中国经济波动，在这个星球上的第二个最大的贸易关系，几乎每个国家。另外30%个下跌将抹去约1000000000000美元的财富。这可能会影响到中国以外的地区。
9北京很担心，正试图阻止恐慌。央行已将利率下调至创纪录低点。市场监管机构试图通过将“不负责任的网络传闻”和“扰乱市场秩序”的批评评论，试图打消投资者的疑虑。
10）监管机构也展开了调查，可能的市场操纵。刑事案件将被提交给安全部门，他们说。
11）但官方的举动可能仅仅是将更多的空气泵入泡沫，冒着更大的事故。星期四，监管机构进一步放宽融资融券交易规则。

寒山寺钟声

rsi2009 发表于 2015-7-5 15:45
呵呵，你去查查过去十年国际投行对A股的预测，有没有一次是对的。

国际投行对A股的预测对不对不重要，重要的是国际投行在A股的盈亏如何？这些投行对中资的掌握如何。有人要脸，有人要钱。从财富外流，资源透支，环境污染，德信缺失，板荡隐隐，还有多少人敢说老外没获得胜利？