论坛 › 〖期货技术交流〗 › 一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:05

Nov 11, 2008 1:18am
fontu
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Member Since Mar 2008

661 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
A chart and an explanation would be nice...


Sorry , here is the chart I see
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168219&stc=1&d=1226384292



Nov 11, 2008 12:09pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif wave 3 of 1 of 5 of (3 or C)
It appears that wave 3 of 1 of 5 of (3 or C) is right on schedule.
welcome friend. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/cool.gif

I have attempted a count before this wave ends and a projection.
Note that the count of sub-waves may be off. (so what is new ??).http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Projections are for exercise purposes; they are not forecasts.
They are actually Fibonacci projections.
If you are interested, there is a lot of material on the web on Fibonacci projections.

Note of caution: you cannot trade someone else's count. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/surprise.gifhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

You must come up with your own count. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/cool.gif
Why you may ask.

It is best to identify your own count; this way you will know its assumptions, possible inadequacies and have a clear understanding regarding points of count verification - points of count rejection.

Additionally, as I mentioned in my previous post, I think that the best use of an EW count, is as a filter to a good trading method.

cheers.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168479&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226423340   

Last edited by unicorn7411, Nov 11, 2008 12:44pm
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#823   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 11, 2008 1:04pm
fontu
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661 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by unicorn7411 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
It appears that wave 3 of 1 of 5 of (3 or C) is right on schedule.
welcome friend. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/cool.gif

I have attempted a count before this wave ends and a projection.
Note that the count of sub-waves may be off. (so what is new ??).http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Projections are for exercise purposes; they are not forecasts.
They are actually Fibonacci projections.
If you are interested, there is a lot of material on the web on Fibonacci projections.

Note of caution: you cannot trade someone else's count. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/surprise.gifhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif

You must come up with your...


Thanks for the post , yes at last it happen as expected and unfortunately could take all those long awaited pips as of my very busy schedule in the office at that time .
here is my chart:


sorry it is not clean as I save from the chart I using with indicators,ea .
fontu
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168506&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226426601   

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#824   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 11, 2008 1:28pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif real time count update
real time count update.

Note that this is the futures contract.
Its price today is ~ 22 ~ 24 ticks less than the spot price.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168516&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226428052   

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#825   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 11, 2008 2:21pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Real Time count update 2
Lets see how it plays out. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

complex correction under way.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168534&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226431277

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:08

Nov 11, 2008 8:20pm
pkimnyc
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guppy count 15 min i have so far.
any help, suggestion, or different view is appreciated.
thanks.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168643&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226452778   

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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 12:58am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif my eurochart
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168738&thumb=1&d=1226469486

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#828   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 6:02am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
guppy count 15 min i have so far.
any help, suggestion, or different view is appreciated.
thanks.

wave 1 false
WAVE 1 WAVE 1:1-2-3-4-5
WAVE 1YOU :A-B-C
Last edited by saeidhidari, Nov 12, 2008 6:13am
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#829   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 6:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR USD H4-H1
EUR USD H4
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168870&thumb=1&d=1226488179
EUR USD H1 +Btterfly
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168871&thumb=1&d=1226488179

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#830   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 7:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdCad chart.

UsdCad chart..

Nicely formed 5 & 3 waves..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168915&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226492987   

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#831   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 7:52am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdCad chart..

Nicely formed 5 & 3 waves..

I've been following the same tracks for a while now. I expect (c) wave of the correction to finish around 50% ret level, a lot of confluence around that level.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=168929&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226494345   

__________________
-soso

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:09

Nov 12, 2008 5:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I've been following the same tracks for a while now. I expect (c) wave of the correction to finish around 50% ret level, a lot of confluence around that level.


Hi,

Agree with you, me too expecting it to go downwards for wave C or 3.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169185&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226528431   

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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 6:44pm
doji
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75 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR/USD
Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EUR USD H4
Attachment 168870
EUR USD H1 +Btterfly
Attachment 168871

Does anybody else see Wave 4 as tracing out a flat corrective move, such that we could expect to see another move up (Wave C) for its completion?

I notice that the RSI on the monthly and weekly charts are showing oversold levels.
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#835   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 6:51pm
Barak's pip
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237 Posts

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hi there ,

what do you think about my wave count?

attached - chart of usdcad,

hope for your comments,
Barak
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#836   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 10:00pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif gbp usd
hi
wave c irregular or runing
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#837   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 12, 2008 11:27pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif ending diagonal ?
fxoffshore, saeidhidari, rocroy, doji, fontu, other fellow wavers;

do you guys think that eurusd in wave 5 of 1 is forming an ending diagonal ? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif

OR is it a Leading diagonal, the first wave of 5 of 1?


what is your analysis?
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#838   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 12:01am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Expanded Flat?
I don't see it as an ending diagonal. First, it is pointing the wrong way for a wave C; second, it is lacking the right contracting shape. I think it is an expanded flat, where the wave B has dragged quite low. Compare USD-CHF (inverse) and GBP-USD in the same time frames. My 2 cents. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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"Expect the best - prepare for the worst" Trade Charts and commentary: http://vault.bz
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#839   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 12:08am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif CAD
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barak's pip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
what do you think about my wave count? attached - chart of usdcad....

Hi Barak,

Your count is good, nice chart. No problems there.

I have preferred the count where CAD has one more impulse up to fit with USD Index, EUR-USD, and others entering a 5th wave.

The CAD 3rd looks to be subdividing, i.e. I, II ; i, ii ....
It should test the previous high at 1.30
__________________
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#840   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 1:57am
Dukeman900
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102 Posts

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I look at the daily ABC swings to look for retracments.

I am expecting a low on the euro Fri / Mon... it may come in today - one day early.

you will see that the euro has reacted to the 25% going long. I am looking for a retracment to enter long... but I am looking for a low 14-17 Nov.

This work well... look at the retacments from the high at the pressure points. Reason I use this is the banks don't look at 5min charts they are looking at the big picture as I do...
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:10

Nov 13, 2008 2:33am
Rocroy
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I think FXoffshore is right, its not a diagonal. I do not even try to count every small move, as at least with my experience things get too error prone. Instead, I look at fibs, which work pretty well.

BTW, I still think that we are in the middle of complex correction and euro will bounce up from those two 261 fibs.

Quote:
Originally Posted by unicorn7411 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
do you guys think that eurusd in wave 5 of 1 is forming an ending diagonal ? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif

OR is it a Leading diagonal, the first wave of 5 of 1?

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169329&thumb=1&d=1226561586

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #843   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 6:21am
doji
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75 Posts

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Me, too. What we thought was a triangle is turning out to be a flat correction. Thus, price should first go up to make a Wave C before going down for Wave 5.
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#844   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 12:04pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Thanks; but I need more input
Thank you fellows, for your answers.

Additionally I would appreciate your observations and guidelines, regarding the reason for not accepting this as a "diagonal triangle" either leading or ending. don't worry about the rest of the labeling; just tell me about the leading diagonal, and the ending diagonal.

I realize that the lines form a parallel channel as opposed to a wedge, but that was not a real concern.

The crux of my question is:
Do you have a method /tool / thinking process to analyze the properties of diagonal triangles so as to accept one or reject it?

FxOffshore, thank you for your point of view; let me though add this:
an ending diagonal triangle can occur as a 5th wave, when the move up to that point was "too far, too fast" (Prechter's book and website). so why do you refer to a C?

sometimes these diagonal triangles occur as leading in wave 1.
Have you had the chance to study them??

With all due respect to your Elliott wave counts, (as a matter of fact you are calibrating me, to not fall in love with my wave count, and I appreciate that ),
my question is focused on wave know-how.

To the fellow that says that he cares only about H1 charts, because banks use them (as opposed to 5 min charts): that is a great point.

But, I am not a bank; I don't work for one.
Plus I want to learn and apply the nuances; there is great practice on 5 minute charts, 10 minute charts and 3 minute charts (fractals, remember?).


Looking forward to your replies.


Take care. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Last edited by unicorn7411, Nov 13, 2008 1:36pm
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#845   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 12:24pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif complex correction
FxOffshore;

do you see a complex "running correction"?
I think it is about to complete or has completed at 11:30 EST

Thanks http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#846   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 2:54pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR USD
EUR USD M15
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#847   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 2:59pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by unicorn7411 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
FxOffshore;

do you see a complex "running correction"?
I think it is about to complete or has completed at 11:30 EST

Thanks http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
No correction
start wave impuls for (correction wave c H4)
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#848   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 4:25pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif so your wave count is C of 4
Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
No correction
start wave impuls for (correction wave c H4)


That was a good call Saeid. (impulse) http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif.

so your wave count is C of 4?
i.e. same count as doji?

Take care. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#849   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 5:11pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Just in case
Hello fellows,

Just in case you were worried what happened to yesterday's count http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
and the not so cute ending diagonal, here is the updated chart.

The assumed wave 2 (in square box), has corrected 89% of wave 1(in square box).

So maybe this is not the correct count after all. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/confused.gif


your observations are welcome.

Take care http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

nb. The chart is in local time = EST+7
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169681&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226613598   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169682&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226613598   

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#850   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 5:16pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Alternate count - flat ABC
I keep simultaneously an eye on the flat ABC that you have suggested.
As a matter of fact I have just computed a couple of Fibonacci Targets.

Ok, I understand that 100% of A is the likely length of wave C;
but, just in case there is truncation, I have the other levels as well.

Saeid will you post your updated chart? Thanks.

cheers. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

nb. The chart is in local time = EST+7
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169687&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226614448   

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#851   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 5:36pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Rocroy, FxOffshore Thank you
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif

I still think that we are in the middle of complex correction and euro will bounce up from those two 261 fibs.


good call Rocroy; http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif


Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I do not even try to count every small move, as at least with my experience things get too error prone.


I see you point; I had the same approach;
But I decided to try counting the small moves to get more experience and a better understanding.
It is a lot of work, I expect that it will pay off.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I think FXoffshore is right, its not a diagonal. I do not even try to count every small move, as at least with my experience things get too error prone.


Well, it does look like a diagonal. It may be a diagonal, then again it may not.
It certainly is easier to say this is an abc and be done with it.
But the big C is a 5 wave structure (to my eyes) and the 5th wave does look like a diagonal.


Thanks for taking the time to discuss this. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

FxOffshore, thank you too. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif No new chart on your site?
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#852   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 6:22pm
Barak's pip
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hi guys ,

can any of you tell me in which wave are we at on the nasdaq index ? meaning monthlyweekly charts..

about fibonacci tools (retracements,expansions) , I'll will happy to hear what is your technique of using them ...

thanks,

Barak
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#853   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 13, 2008 11:10pm
Rocroy
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It did not look like a diagonal in the first place, but became one finally.

I think we might expect this kind of moves. Imo price still needs to visit that 261 fib line, so we could be there some time next week?

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=169786&thumb=1&d=1226635679

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#854   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 1:17am
doji
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif E/U 4-hr chart
Quote:
Originally Posted by unicorn7411 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That was a good call Saeid. (impulse) http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif.

so your wave count is C of 4?
i.e. same count as doji?

Take care. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Hi. I don't even think Wave B is done yet. I think we will see another down-wave after this up-wave finishes to be able to say it really is completed. Then, Wave C up will begin.

My two cents.
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#855   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 1:20am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif eur jpy
near end wave 4:3
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:10

Nov 14, 2008 1:22am
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd chf
usd chf montly
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 1:32am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR USD
EUR USD DAILY
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#858   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 1:33am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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EUR USD H4
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#859   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 7:21am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USD CAD
USD CAD
Montly wave 4

H4 wave c:4

M 15m 1:C:4
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#860   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 9:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurGbp chart


wave 3 of 5 is in progress..
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:11

Nov 14, 2008 9:13am
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AudUsd chart
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 9:19am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
USD CAD
Montly wave 4

H4 wave c:4

M 15m 1:C:4


Hi,

my M15 chart is quite different count from yours http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#863   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 9:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Other possibility for Eurusd..

What you guys think?
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#864   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 9:38am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Eurusd other possibility..
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#865   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 9:44am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurChf chart...
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#866   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 10:09am
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I think EURUSD bear trend is done for a few weeks... My bet is on the bullish side.
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#867   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 10:16am
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Evil Speculator
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This is still my prefered count. Some analysts saw it as a failed 5, I'd rather count it as a correction.

P.S. We have a Reversal Bar sitting on the 50 retrace, if it breaks up I'll get long.
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#868   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 10:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar35817_1.gif13thheaven
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215 Posts

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i think it's gonna test 2860 first, then retrace back down if it break the channel (look at the 1hr chart, what a nice channel it have...)
and if that's so... i'm agree with ur analysis... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
on the 5 minutes chart i think we should see wave 5 (with the target 2860)

sorry no charts posted... slow connection here...
thx...
any comments?
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#869   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 14, 2008 10:31am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar64906_2.giftemitope
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19 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif eur/usd
i think i second soso...both eu and gu are going bullish soon expecially with the 61.8 retracement on gu..that i think would close with a doji on 4hr.and the eu forming a falling wedge...as wave 4 i think ..
but lets face it...the market is getting too volatile...and more dangerous...50 60,70,pip stoploss points dont even mean a thing anymore(smiles..)

but yes its definitely up.
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#870   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 15, 2008 4:38am
Barak's pip
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237 Posts

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usdjpy ,

hey guys ,

what do you think about that wave count ?

Barak
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:12

Nov 15, 2008 3:27pm
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Here is the UJ wave count I have for 4H chart. Waiting for minor wave 1 to complete of Wave C of a ABC correction. Wave 1 projected top around zones of 98.926 - 99.244 or 99.628 - 99.854 and time zones of 05:00-09:00 11/17/08:
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #872   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 12:28am
fontu
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661 Posts

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Now gbpjpy should be in impulse wave 5 but within the range of 4 correction and may create more complex too though seems not anymore . The same scenerio should be many other pairs corerelating :

fontu
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#873   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 3:28am
Rocroy
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That looks like a clear correction, which is about to be completed.

A couple of comments though. Your last count seems to have overlapping waves 1 and 4.

Also I'm a little sceptical if wave B is complete. It looks good, but it lacks a decent support, so I expect it to drift a little lower, to 92.4. But this is my speculation, from ew viewpoint everything in wB is ok.

BTW, what is your big count on UJ? Is this correction wave 4?

R

Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Here is the UJ wave count I have for 4H chart. Waiting for minor wave 1 to complete of Wave C of a ABC correction. Wave 1 projected top around zones of 98.926 - 99.244 or 99.628 - 99.854 and time zones of 05:00-09:00 11/17/08:


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#874   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 3:35am
Rocroy
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I'm not sure if that kind of counting is allowed, at least I could not identify it in this ew cheat sheet.

So that is why I assumed that the first wave of this correction is an impulse, wave A, and after that starts a contracting triangle. wave B, which is about to complete, if this triangle scenario is correct.

Other possibilities are open too, like you showed in your other posts.

EW Cheat Sheet.pdf

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Other possibility for Eurusd..

What you guys think?



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#875   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 4:09am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif ending diagonal
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Other possibility for Eurusd..

What you guys think?


Blue bottle,
I am in favour of an ending diagonal.

cheers. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#876   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 7:24am
Sixer
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34 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif ED
unicorn7411,

you should consider the countings of "comrad" Dmitry for different time frames:

http://www.alpari-forex.com/en/ew_daily/

Sixer
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#877   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 8:09am
fontu
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Quote:
Originally Posted by unicorn7411 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Blue bottle,
I am in favour of an ending diagonal.

cheers. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

I think so too , it can't be different than other similar pairs doing & so perhaps started the wave 5 within the 4 wave range though as I am all along in favour of this 4th wave to end! and never thought that much big wave 5 can be finished without notice .

fontu
Last edited by fontu, Nov 16, 2008 10:34am
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#878   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 9:05pm
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Trade the reaction not the news!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
That looks like a clear correction, which is about to be completed.

A couple of comments though. Your last count seems to have overlapping waves 1 and 4.

I am of the EW school of thought that as long as price does not close into wave 1 it can still be valid.

Also I'm a little sceptical if wave B is complete. It looks good, but it lacks a decent support, so I expect it to drift a little lower, to 92.4. But this is my speculation, from ew viewpoint everything in wB is ok.

You might be right, tonight even though it moved lower it still hasn't close into wave 1.

BTW, what is your big count on UJ? Is this correction wave 4?

I am thinking an ABC correction of the impulse wave down from '07.

.

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#879   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 9:34pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Hi all,


my eurgbp chart,,
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#880   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 16, 2008 11:36pm
Rocroy
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Well ok, but doesn't that raise the question "on what timeframe"? What I mean that a counting looks ok on a longer tf (e.g. 4h), but on shorter tf's (e.g. 1h) it is no longer acceptable.

I'm sure that your ew school has an explanation to this "problem", but as I'm not from that school (heck, I don't know what school I'm from, SS = sefl-study? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif) I'd be interested know how you deal with the prev issue. Thanks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif

Your last count seems to have overlapping waves 1 and 4.

I am of the EW school of thought that as long as price does not close into wave 1 it can still be valid.

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif


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#881   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 12:02am
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Trade the reaction not the news!
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Well see the EW school of thought that I learned is about trading and not theory and holding fast to "rules". Prechter and his EWI bunch are all about having never this and never that. Mr Elliott originally had his wave counts and nothing much else but after the public wanted certainty (which can never be so) did he add some "rules".

So moving down to a 1H chart it does indeed close into wave 1 range by a couple of measly pips. Going into a shorter timeframe by much more.

But even though price can be broken down into smaller and smaller fractals and have similar price patterns, the "rules" cannot be applied as stringent IMHO, for the simply reason that things are not always so nice and neat on every timeframe.

Now none of this means that I will be proven right. That is what alternate counts are for. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#882   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 12:23am
Rocroy
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I now remember that you already explained this approach earlier in this thread, but thanks. I think at least at the moment I stick to the rules - few of them and easy to follow. But it is also interesting to keep your school's approach in mind, and check from time to time how this "looser" approach would have worked.

Here a couple alternate counts for uj. Triangle play also here?

EDT: the first alternate is not correct, last wave has to an impulse (or ending diagonal).

Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Well see the EW school of thought that I learned is about trading and not theory and holding fast to "rules". Prechter and his EWI bunch are all about having never this and never that. Mr Elliott originally had his wave counts and nothing much else but after the public wanted certainty (which can never be so) did he add some "rules".

So moving down to a 1H chart it does indeed close into wave 1 range by a couple of measly pips. Going into a shorter timeframe by much more.

But even though price can be broken down into smaller and smaller...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=170649&thumb=1&d=1226899324

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=170650&thumb=1&d=1226899324

Last edited by Rocroy, Nov 17, 2008 12:48am
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#883   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 3:43am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
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Hi guys,

I follow a simpler EW school, like SunTrader, and while I agree that the rule regarding wave 4 cannot travel into wave 1 teritory can sometimes be broken, especially if there is a fast spike that takes us a little into wave 1 teritory, I also think that always following the rule does a better service than doubting it.
After all by having space between corrections (2 & 4) is a sign of strength which is a characteristic of impulse waves.
Anyhow each one with his own style...

As for USDJPY, here's yet another count http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif, showing how discretionary this whole thing is.

P.S. My Euro setup was activated but quickly kicked out bythe big bearish move from Friday before closing.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=170696&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226911213   

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#884   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 4:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif AUDUSD
AUDUSD looks very good imo, attached is a possible count. The correction stopped at 62 retracement of (a). This is the simple EW that I like to look for - a first impulse followed by a retracement who's momentum is clearly inferior compared with the momentum of the impulse wave. The R:R is also great.

Also we have the support of the Daily, if you look carefully you'll see a possible H&S pattern.
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=170718&stc=1&d=1226913804 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=170721&stc=1&d=1226914211

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#885   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 4:37am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif AUDUSD, 4H
Same direction but a better, and more bullish, count for AUDUSD 4H.

Note that with the renewd count the end of wave sits at a powerful confluence of fib levels.
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hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:15

Nov 17, 2008 6:34pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Eurgbp chart
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171053&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1226964829   

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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 17, 2008 7:13pm
doji
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75 Posts

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Hey, Rocroy. Cool EW cheatsheet. I just had to print it!

Where'd you get that?

Thanks!
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#889   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 18, 2008 1:44am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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Someone kindly sent it when I presented my first geppy counts in Auslanco's thread. Can't remember his name any more. Probably noticed that this noob really needs one! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif

It's pretty handy I think.

Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hey, Rocroy. Cool EW cheatsheet. I just had to print it!

Where'd you get that?

Thanks!


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#890   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 18, 2008 5:38pm
doji
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75 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Someone kindly sent it when I presented my first geppy counts in Auslanco's thread. Can't remember his name any more. Probably noticed that this noob really needs one! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif

It's pretty handy I think.

Though it's pretty self-explanatory for the most part, is there some sort of legend for the abbreviations like Dx, Tx, etc? Some I get but not all, unfortunately.

Thanks, once again.
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#891   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 12:38am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Hi all,


Usdcad chart..
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#892   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 1:15am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Usdcad chart in smaller tf.
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#893   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 1:45am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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I believe that for instance Tx means any pattern starting with T: TZ or T3. And likewise Dx stands for ... and black triangle simply means any triangle.

Whoever made the sheet probably wanted to save some space with those abbreviations, and made it harder to read at the same time...


Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Though it's pretty self-explanatory for the most part, is there some sort of legend for the abbreviations like Dx, Tx, etc? Some I get but not all, unfortunately.

Thanks, once again.


http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif
#894   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 1:58am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Usdchf charts

I am looking for the big reversal ahead.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171704&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227077882   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171705&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227077882   

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#895   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 2:07am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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Swissie approaching potential turning point, 161 fib. I did not even try to count the last wave, simply too difficult. But let's see what happens. Many pairs seem to be very close to turn, so that in a way increases the importance of that next fib level.

EDT: Hey BB, different method of analysis, similar conclusions http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171708&thumb=1&d=1227078260

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#896   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 2:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
Member Since Aug 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10kt.gif206 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon4.gif Terminal Diagonals - Big Reversal This Week
I have been busy trading, but dropped in for a visit.

I see some big reversal in the counts, many majors - like EUR-USD, are completing terminal diagonals. Swissy also, same with S&P 500, Oil and Gold, and USD Index. Which pretty much means everything major that was wondering how the 4th wave is going to end, so a big 5th can begin. Well, the 4th ended weeks ago, and the 5th is nearly complete.

When? I estimate before this weekend, Thursday - Friday. It should not take too many hours to finish this off, except if the 5th extends, then it may go a couple more days. It could be as soon as Wednesday if it drops quickly tonight.

Study up on diagonals, and consider it carefully. I cannot ignore what I see in the wide market about to reverse for a least a couple months.

Consider, it was a diagonal that finished Euro at 160.37, and look how it plummeted. I love trading these with small lots over weeks. This wave B quick reversal should be in the order of 2000-4000 pips of Euro gains before coming back to set new lows in 2009.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171716&thumb=1&d=1227079423

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"Expect the best - prepare for the worst" Trade Charts and commentary: http://vault.bz
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#897   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 2:57am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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Thanks for the input.

Euro seems to be a bit on the brake at the moment, while other pairs are very near to turn, or have already started the next move (e.g. cable). That is why I do not believe that euro can make to the lower trendline of the triangle, but starts wave C above the line. Fibs (161 and 261) in the graph may indicate potential turning points.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I have been busy trading, but dropped in for a visit.

I see some big reversal in the counts, many majors - like EUR-USD, are completing terminal diagonals. Swissy also, same with S&P 500, Oil and Gold, and USD Index. Which pretty much means everything major that was wondering how the 4th wave is going to end, so a big 5th can begin. Well, the 4th ended weeks ago, and the 5th is nearly complete.

When? I estimate before this weekend, Thursday - Friday. ...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=171722&thumb=1&d=1227081064

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#898   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 12:54pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USD/CAD
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Usdcad chart in smaller tf.


Hi Blue,

Personally, I think that your 5 is a 3 and your 1/A is wave 4 and that we are currently in wave 5. In fact, it looks as if we are breaking out of a wave (iv) of 5 triangle.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172002&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227117252   

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#899   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 12:58pm
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Cable
I agree with FX, it appears as if we are in the final stages of WAVE A before a major reversal into a Big Wave B. Here is my count of the Pound:
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172003&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227117518   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:17

Nov 19, 2008 3:50pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Aud Usd + Usd Cad + Gbp Chf
Aud Usd + Usd Cad + Gbp Chf
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #902   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 11:23pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Hi all,

My nzdusd chart.
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#903   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 19, 2008 11:40pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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NzdUsd daily chart..
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#904   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 12:18am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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EurGbp chart..
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#905   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 12:22am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Cable..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172246&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227158558   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:17

Nov 20, 2008 1:59am
Rocroy
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Here is an update to my prev euro chart. Yesterday's spike changed the count a little, we got rid of that triangle within triangle thingy, and the last wave is probably a usual a-b-c correction. 161 fib line with historic support looks like a good candidate for a turning point, considering the positions of other pairs.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172278&thumb=1&d=1227164281

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #907   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 4:19am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts

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Bullish alternatives for euro and usdjpy on 4h timeframes.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172315&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227172731   
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#908   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 8:34am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar81717_6.gifRasheed
Malaysia Boleh!
Member Since Oct 2008

85 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon5.gif ...
will Cable heading south?
__________________
Learning, is a never ending processs...
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#909   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 9:20am
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10+kt.gif4,413 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rasheed http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
will Cable heading south?

Take a look at a chart. If it continues the way it has it should reach Antartica anyday.
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#910   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 10:29am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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I've been lately including fib-forecasts in my counts, but it seems that there is really no point in that, as PA quite often invalidates those earlier fibs.

A good (or bad) example is my audusd forecast "...it will drop till 0.6272". Recent moves have changed the scenario so that the fib had to be moved to a different place and the new fib says the next significant resistance level is at 0.6146.

So I think it is better stop including fibs in my charts as many may soon became invalidated and as such hardly provide useful info to anyone.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172478&thumb=1&d=1227194663

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#911   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 12:54pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar15771_1.gifunicorn7411
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Member Since Aug 2006

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif70 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Same conclusion
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
we got rid of that triangle within triangle thingy, and the last wave is probably a usual a-b-c correction. 161 fib line with historic support looks like a good candidate for a turning point, considering the positions of other pairs.


Rocroy:

and we have another triangle thingy to take into consideration http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thinking.gif

have a look:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...29&postcount=1


The price action may overshoot the bottom trendline, "final thrust" in ending diagonal triangles. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#912   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 20, 2008 9:26pm
pkimnyc
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hello again ew traders.

i have a count for guppy 4 hr chart that i'm not sure if this can be considered as a leading diagonal. any help would be appreciated.
any different view or count can be helpful.

thanks you.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172741&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227234398   

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#913   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 21, 2008 1:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Hi Pkimnyc,

My other possibility for gbpjpy pair.

It looks valid but i no confident that price will go further down for wave 3&5..

So urs is my preferred chart right now.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172806&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227248510   

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#914   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 21, 2008 1:35am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Hi all,

my eurgbp chart.

Nicely formed 5waves..
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#915   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 21, 2008 1:45am
Rocroy
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Member Since Jun 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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Here's my take. We are now in wave B, which is a triple zigzag, and in last subwave of of Z of B. End point could be near 130. It is also possible that wave Z is already complete (last subwave of Z should be impulse or ending diagonal and the last subwave can be counted as an impulse).

Hope this helps, at least you now got a different view http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hello again ew traders.

i have a count for guppy 4 hr chart that i'm not sure if this can be considered as a leading diagonal. any help would be appreciated.
any different view or count can be helpful.

thanks you.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=172814&thumb=1&d=1227249856

Last edited by Rocroy, Nov 21, 2008 2:25am Reason: Addition to my analysis.

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:18

Nov 21, 2008 9:10pm
pkimnyc
Senior Member
Member Since Oct 2007

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weekly chart. guppy.

i originally thought that the down move was impulse, but recently learned that impulse wave must begin with 5 waves in order for impulse wave to be labeled. that makes the entire down move can be looked as ABC.

any other thought, different view, correction, or count would be much appreciated. thanks.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173153&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227326311   

Last edited by pkimnyc, Nov 21, 2008 10:58pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #920   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 22, 2008 1:20am
Rocroy
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EW counting gives you typically many alternative choices. My geppy count is quite different to yours, I think that we have a nice impulse wave here. Often a wave can be counted as an impulse or a correction. In that case, if no ew rules are violated, then it is better to count as an impulse. This is my personal ew experience, which unfortunately is not very extensive http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Any comments from other thread members to my statement? Do you know if Prechter or other ew gurus have taken any stand on this issue?

A hint to fib users: try fibbing the current wave. If you fib the prev wave(-s), then your results are probably not that good - imo earlier waves are history, dead and gone, and therefore using the PA of the current wave is a better way. Well, actually it depends what you want to measure / estimate with fibs. But if you wish to know where the current wave could end, then it is better to apply fibs to current wave ifself, not the earlier waves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
weekly chart. guppy.

i originally thought that the down move was impulse, but recently learned that impulse wave must begin with 5 waves in order for impulse wave to be labeled. that makes the entire down move can be looked as ABC.

any other thought, different view, correction, or count would be much appreciated. thanks.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173165&thumb=1&d=1227334547

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#921   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 22, 2008 1:34am
Rocroy
Senior Member
Member Since Jun 2007

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts

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Here's a better fib for geppy. Price respects pretty well those fib levels...

A little off topic, so let's cut this fib discussion here (even though Elliot himself mentioned that Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the wave principle). In any case, I believe that fibs are very useful with ew, and can give you a lot of valuable info for actual trading.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173167&thumb=1&d=1227335370

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#922   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 22, 2008 11:27am
pkimnyc
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EW counting gives you typically many alternative choices. My geppy count is quite different to yours, I think that we have a nice impulse wave here. Often a wave can be counted as an impulse or a correction. In that case, if no ew rules are violated, then it is better to count as an impulse. This is my personal ew experience, which unfortunately is not very extensive http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Any comments from other thread members to my statement? Do you know if Prechter or other ew gurus have taken any stand on this issue?

A hint to fib users: try fibbing the current...

thanks rocroy,

your inputs are much appreciated. in fact the daily count on your chart was my original count. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif but, it sort of confused me because the start of the wave looked like an ABC. i'm just trying to learn and i do understand there are (almost always) more than 1 probability. that is why i value other counts to see if i missed out on any. thanks for the tip on the fib usage. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

many thanks to you.
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#923   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 22, 2008 1:49pm
fontu
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661 Posts

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seems ABC correction in wave 4 still not over :
fontu
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173271&stc=1&d=1227379576 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173272&stc=1&d=1227379764

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#924   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 22, 2008 4:50pm
pkimnyc
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fontu http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
seems ABC correction in wave 4 still not over :
fontu

i see your point. thanks.
also noticed that your weekly count is also ABC. i thought i was the only crazy one. lol
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#925   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 23, 2008 4:10am
Rocroy
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One more chart on geppy. If you take a look at monthly price moves, you'll notice that this last wave can be either an impulse or correction. If the ZZ correction is complete, then we can count it as an impulse, but if the correction continues for instance as a double ZZ, then this last wave has also to be a correction. So time will tell, let's just patiently wait a few years... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Just had to insert one fib on the chart... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif


Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
thanks rocroy,

your inputs are ...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173380&thumb=1&d=1227431395

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:19

Nov 23, 2008 7:58am
fontu
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661 Posts

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Thanks Rocroy for the analysis , in mothly gj also in wave c correction ,the same 4th wave in C too. No not years ,it will take time to confirm the movements , may be this week or if 2 more rounds to consolidate then may take 2-3 weeks or by end of this year.

fontu
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173403&stc=1&d=1227445093

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #927   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 23, 2008 8:14am
fontu
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Member Since Mar 2008

661 Posts

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Again see how widely open down the stoches are in the monthly chart:
Attached Imageshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173404&stc=1&d=1227446061

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#928   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 23, 2008 12:57pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Eur/Usd


3 great trade set-ups from last week .............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Trade set-up : ( # 1 )
--------------------------------------------------
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173470&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227462943   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173471&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227462980   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173472&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227462997   

Last edited by marketwavez, Nov 23, 2008 1:08pm
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#929   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 23, 2008 1:00pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Eur/Usd

-------------------------------------------
Another , Trade set-up : ( # 2 )
------------------------------------------
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173473&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227463204   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173475&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227463245   

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#930   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 23, 2008 1:03pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
Senior Member
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Eur/Usd

-------------------------------------------
Yet, Another , Trade set-up : ( # 3 )
-------------------------------------------
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173476&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227463380   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=173477&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227463396   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:20

Nov 24, 2008 6:56pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurUsd chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174074&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227570996   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #932   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 24, 2008 8:29pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

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I am no strong adherent for EW rules but that is a suspicous looking 5th wave in the form of a descending triangle/wedge thingy.

4th wave looks impulsive and 5th looks corrective instead of the other way around.
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#933   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 24, 2008 11:30pm
fontu
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661 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am no strong adherent for EW rules but that is a suspicous looking 5th wave in the form of a descending triangle/wedge thingy.

4th wave looks impulsive and 5th looks corrective instead of the other way around.

Me too , I still believe it is 4th wave consolidation like gj now following and many pairs now in corelation like eu,gu,gold should be the same phase pf big abc correction & waiting to finish the 4th & 5th wave of c or simply A leg down.I think they will take time to complete 4th wave . Yes think similar in eu too , going for c wave of 4th >still to go up to finish , then may come D & E & finally down or shortcut the 5th wave to start, who knows?
fontu .
gj now :
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174167&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227587398   

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#934   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 24, 2008 11:34pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

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UJ 1H looking for wave c of wave 4 to complete:
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174168&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227587644   

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#935   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 3:01am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am no strong adherent for EW rules but that is a suspicous looking 5th wave in the form of a descending triangle/wedge thingy.

4th wave looks impulsive and 5th looks corrective instead of the other way around.

Same feelings here SunTrader. I see 2 bullish impulse moves each followed by a 2-wave correction.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174223&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227600073   

__________________
-soso
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#936   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 3:02am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDJPY, H4
This is what I see here.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174224&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227600166   

__________________
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#937   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 4:15am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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UsdCHf


Forming 5 waves nicely..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174257&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227604513   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:20

Nov 25, 2008 7:46am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Usd/Cad

Here is a look at what may be occurring .....http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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Only a Probability , ................ Not Cast in Stone !
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http://i33.tinypic.com/34igvb9.gif
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #939   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 7:49am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Eur/Usd
------------------------
Probable Wave-Count
--------------------------------
( Double click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174337&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227617391   

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#940   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 8:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Eur/Usd
------------------------
Probable Wave-Count
--------------------------------
( Double click on chart to enlarge )


Good chart Marketwavez.. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
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#941   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 8:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdCHf


Forming 5 waves nicely..

Updated count for Usdchf..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174360&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227619823   

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#942   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 8:49am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Good chart Marketwavez.. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

Eur/Usd

thanx for your compliment ............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
------------------------------------------------
http://i38.tinypic.com/2wpuuzr.jpg
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#943   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 9:05am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Eur/Usd

----------------------------------------------------
Houston , I think we have lift off .............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/surprise.gif !

----------------------------------------------------
http://i37.tinypic.com/14v09xl.jpg
Last edited by marketwavez, Nov 25, 2008 9:16am
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif
#944   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 25, 2008 10:17am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar25165_1.gifmarketwavez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Eur/Usd
------------------------
Probable Wave-Count
--------------------------------
( Double click on chart to enlarge )

Eur/Usd

Whoot , there it is ! ............http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif

Price-action has now rallied into target ......

//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
( Double click on chart to enlarge )
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174413&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227626223   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:21

Nov 25, 2008 9:10pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurChf Chart..

Wave 5 is in progress..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174676&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227665373   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #947   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 26, 2008 4:38pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Updated count for Usdchf..


very good enter sell

continution usd chf 1h 2 or b
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175088&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227735478   

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#948   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 27, 2008 2:44am
Rocroy
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Eurochart wave4 correction has ended? I think we have two main options here (in this euro count alternative, which is my favourite): [*]correction could still continue and thus the last wave is not waveC, but a beginning of a new correction wave, of which wave a is complete[*]correction is over, we have waveC, and expect wave5 downIn any case, I'm not yet expecting a bigger move up, price still has to complete the cycle. If this is the case, then also swissie needs to make one more move up, perhaps to 1.26 level.

It seems we have a head and shoulders forming up, which would suggest further downmoves.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175249&thumb=1&d=1227771630

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#949   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 27, 2008 7:52am
Rocroy
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Looks like wave B is about to complete (or continue as a triple ZZ, which is less likely imo). Target for the next move is still the same, near 92.4

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif

Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Here is the UJ wave count I have for 4H chart. Waiting for ...

That looks like a clear correction, which is about to be completed. A couple of comments though...

Also I'm a little sceptical if wave B is complete. It looks good, but it lacks a decent support, so I expect it to drift a little lower, to 92.4. But this is my speculation, from ew viewpoint everything in wB is ok.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175359&thumb=1&d=1227790144

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#950   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 27, 2008 8:56am
belekas
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Looks like wave B is about to complete (or continue as a triple ZZ, which is less likely imo). Target for the next move is still the same, near 92.4

Nice downtrend channel on the 1hr. And i agree about the target beying @ the LTL around 92.50/40 Posting a clean chart.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175375&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227794126

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:22

Nov 27, 2008 9:05am
pipeye
Member
Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Euro
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Looks like wave B is about to complete (or continue as a triple ZZ, which is less likely imo). Target for the next move is still the same, near 92.4



Attachment 175359

Could we have just completed a Triple 3 on the Euro??
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175378&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227794702   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #952   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 27, 2008 9:33am
pipeye
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Member Since Dec 2007

149 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Euro
Or, the triangle continues...
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175392&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227796415   

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#953   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 27, 2008 11:18am
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10+kt.gif4,413 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Looks like wave B is about to complete (or continue as a triple ZZ, which is less likely imo). Target for the next move is still the same, near 92.4

I put UJ 1H aside for the moment, because it seems that (many other markets too) are just having one corrective pattern after another.

So until things settled themselves out I'll just be watching and waiting for a "clean" breakout to start numbering waves of a trend again.

With hindsight I should have been trying to catch beginnings of Wave C's. Oh well.
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#954   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 28, 2008 12:34am
Rocroy
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That is one alternative. Many counts (this one, triangle in the middle, my count) propose that now one cycle has ended. Let's see if that means the correction is over...


Quote:
Originally Posted by pipeye http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Could we have just completed a Triple 3 on the Euro??


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#955   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Nov 28, 2008 4:26pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EUR GBP
eur gbp end wave 2 or b
start down trend
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=175825&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1227907557   

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#956   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 1, 2008 6:42am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Cable count
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=176451&thumb=1&d=1228131705

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#957   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 6:24am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar69704_2.gifj-pax
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36 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif elwave
hello wavecounters,

i just bought the frost @ prechter book and am looking for charting software outside my mt4. i am totaly new to EW.

i am thinking about buying elwave basic for 80 eur. this is not automated. does someone have experience with this software??

if this is not the thread to ask, i am sorry.
thank you for all the charts here, the are very usefull for a beginner.

greets jacco
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#958   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 6:53am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif eur usd
eur usd start up trend
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=176902&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228218983   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:23

Dec 2, 2008 7:44pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Hi all,

my usdchf chart..


Looks wave 2 or b is completed at 1.2198..hence looking for C..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177153&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228265069   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #962   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 7:53pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by j-pax http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hello wavecounters,

i just bought the frost @ prechter book and am looking for charting software outside my mt4. i am totaly new to EW.

i am thinking about buying elwave basic for 80 eur. this is not automated. does someone have experience with this software??

if this is not the thread to ask, i am sorry.
thank you for all the charts here, the are very usefull for a beginner.

greets jacco


Hi Jacco,

Its alright to ask newbie questions here, so no worries.

About the software, i never heard about it and i dun recommend software for EW.

The good way of learning EW is by practicing yourself. Read everything u can and practice counts on chart..
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#963   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 7:55pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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Eurchf chart..

Looking for bearish..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177156&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228265733   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177160&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228266088   

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#964   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 8:16pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

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UsdCad chart..


wave 2 or B is in action.. we may go short once it break lower trend line..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177164&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228266958   

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#965   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 8:21pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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GbpJpy chart...
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177166&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228267269   

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#966   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 8:33pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
eur gbp end wave 2 or b
start down trend


Good chart bro!!http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif

My chart is exactly same like yours.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177171&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228268057   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:23

Dec 2, 2008 8:42pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurGbp chart..

Will w5 go for new high? or truncated w5?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177174&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228268489   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #968   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 8:44pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Audusd chart
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177176&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228268882   

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#969   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 8:58pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Hi all,

anyone with EurGbp monthly chart? pls post here...

My MT4 platform only shows monthly chart since 1979. Don't knw why..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/worried.gif

Anybody with some idea why all my charts starts from 1979 only..?

..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177177&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228269473   

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#970   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 9:14pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurUsd chart...
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177180&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228270457   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177181&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228270457   

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#971   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 2, 2008 9:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurUsd chart...


Other possibility..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177184&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228270794   

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#972   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 12:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurGbp chart..

Will w5 go for new high? or truncated w5?


ok very good
wave 5:5:c perhapes filor
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#973   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 12:29am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdCad chart..


wave 2 or B is in action.. we may go short once it break lower trend line..


very good
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#974   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 1:01am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
very good


Thanks Saeidhidari..

Nowadays busy with my day job so no much time for detailed analysis. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gifand more chance for wrong counts..

So please correct me if i miss something..
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#975   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 1:06am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EurGbp chart..

Will w5 go for new high? or truncated w5?


Eurgbp chart in 15mins
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177229&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228284371   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:24

Dec 3, 2008 2:57am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Eurgbp chart in 15mins

OK
WAVE 5 you formation 3 small wave and wave b is
wave 4 irregullar
wave 5 filor

sorry on your analysis I said my opinion
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177256&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228290835   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177257&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228290835   

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #977   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 3:01am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thanks Saeidhidari..

Nowadays busy with my day job so no much time for detailed analysis. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gifand more chance for wrong counts..

So please correct me if i miss something..


tank you
If I have time I will help you .
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#978   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 3:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd cad
usd cad
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#979   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 3, 2008 4:46pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd cad
usd cad close in daily candel (hangin man )
enter to market under low

analysis in h4
triger (RD) robert miner in prz for wave 2
time in 0:0 4dec

good treiger
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#980   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 4, 2008 12:51am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Cable chart
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#981   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 4, 2008 12:54am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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GbpJpy chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177699&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228370058   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=177700&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228370264   

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#982   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 4, 2008 11:23pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar3774_3.gifbohebolo
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Member Since Oct 2005

33 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif short term bullish?
below is possible wave count on gbpusd
target is around 1.5100

what do you think guys? any alternative count, anyone?
cheers...
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178187&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228450951   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178188&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228450951   

hefeiddd 发表于 2009-4-12 08:25

Dec 4, 2008 11:35pm
Rocroy
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Hi bohebolo, check my prev posting to this thread, which shows the big count for cable. Imo cable continues down, after short correction of the first wave of wave5. This is also shown by fibs: a major support (261) has been broken, which indicates further downmove.

Possible targets for the correction are at the moment 1.492 and 1.510 (which is too optimistic imo)

Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
below is possible wave count on gbpusd
target is around 1.5100

what do you think guys? any alternative count, anyone?
cheers...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178195&thumb=1&d=1228451615

Last edited by Rocroy, Dec 4, 2008 11:48pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #984   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 5, 2008 12:17am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar3774_3.gifbohebolo
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33 Posts

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi bohebolo, check my prev posting to this thread, which shows the big count for cable. Imo cable continues down, after short correction of the first wave of wave5. This is also shown by fibs: a major support (261) has been broken, which indicates further downmove.

Possible targets for the correction are at the moment 1.492 and 1.510 (which is too optimistic imo)



Attachment 178195

i'm agree with you rocroy.
usually this correction will end around previous end of wave iv, which is around 1.5060
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#985   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 5, 2008 5:08am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif GBP JPY
GBP JPY W-D-H4-H1
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178308&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228471664   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178309&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228471664   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178311&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228471693   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178312&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228471693



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#986   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 5, 2008 6:15am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif GBP CHF
GBP CHF M-W-D-H1
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178342&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228475692   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178343&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228475692   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178344&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228475726   http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=178345&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1228475726



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#987   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 5, 2008 1:01pm
pkimnyc
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euro count daily.
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#988   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 7, 2008 4:16pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif INDEX USD
Index Usd
New Low In Chart
Start New Trend In Usd
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#989   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 7, 2008 10:02pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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GbpJpy chart..
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#990   
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 7, 2008 10:30pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
NzdUsd chart..
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