Dec 8, 2008 3:41am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDCAD
USCAD.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #992
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 8, 2008 7:50pm
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UsdCHf chart..
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#993
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 8, 2008 8:17pm
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UsdJpy chart...
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#994
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 8, 2008 8:27pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
USCAD.
Good chart soso.
Your chart will be my primary count if the red color trend line not gonna break..
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Last edited by Blue bottle, Dec 8, 2008 8:46pm
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#995
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 8, 2008 11:39pm
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Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005
33 Posts
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anyone has short term update for GBPUSD?
is it already finished the correction @ 1.5045?
i count the last rally as zigzag, but the c leg only 3 waves.
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Dec 9, 2008 8:51am
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Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif gbp usd
gbp usd
end wave b
confirmation 2 pattern
garrtly & bat
line blue bat
line red garrtly .
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 8:57am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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usd cad
ellito & wolfy
down trend
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#998
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 9:37am
alex12
Member
Member Since Aug 2008
87 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
gbp usd
end wave b
confirmation 2 pattern
garrtly & bat
line blue bat
line red garrtly .
It seems to be the end of wave B and looks a very good Gartly as well but would you really go long against such a strong down trend ( lower highs and lower lows in daily /4h and 1h??
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#999
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 11:09am
Rocroy
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Member Since Jun 2007
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif My cable scenario
Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
anyone has short term update for GBPUSD?
is it already finished the correction @ 1.5045?
i count the last rally as zigzag, but the c leg only 3 waves.
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#1000
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 1:23pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex12 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
It seems to be the end of wave B and looks a very good Gartly as well but would you really go long against such a strong down trend ( lower highs and lower lows in daily /4h and 1h??
OK
END WAVE B
start wave c
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#1001
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 1:25pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif nzd usd
nzd usd
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#1002
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 1:30pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif usd jpy
usd jpy
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#1003
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 1:37pm
alex12
Member
Member Since Aug 2008
87 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
OK
END WAVE B
start wave c
Well done . you were right.
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#1004
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 9, 2008 4:26pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif gbp jpy
gbp jpy
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Dec 10, 2008 3:23am
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Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
nice call saeid, it bounce from there...
do you have longer term wave count on cable?
ok
gbp usd
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 10, 2008 4:38am
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Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005
33 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
ok
gbp usd
thanks dude..
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#1009
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 10, 2008 5:41am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
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USDCAD H4.
USDCAD might offer us a chance to position short for the scenario I posted a couple of days ago. If price gets near ~1.279 area I'll look for confirmatory price action to enter short.
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#1010
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 10, 2008 5:51am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURUSD
EURUSD H4.
Guys I know that most of you have bearish counts on EURUSD, for obvious reasons. But I think it is worth to consider bullish alternatives as a lot of people are bearish EURUSD and in these situations many times the market does exactly the opposite.
I'll look for a corrective move towards 1.272 area and if price action allows it I'll get long for 1.34.
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#1011
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 10, 2008 11:45am
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Senior Member
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EURUSD H4.
Guys I know that most of you have bearish counts on EURUSD, for obvious reasons. But I think it is worth to consider bullish alternatives as a lot of people are bearish EURUSD and in these situations many times the market does exactly the opposite.
I'll look for a corrective move towards 1.272 area and if price action allows it I'll get long for 1.34.
thanks soso. i had re-evaluated my count this moring and it came out exactly as yours. and now that the swissy is about to reverse, i don't see eu going down any further for now.
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#1012
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 10, 2008 11:21pm
Rocroy
Senior Member
Member Since Jun 2007
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif My euro and swissie charts
Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
thanks soso. i had re-evaluated my count this moring and it came out exactly as yours. and now that the swissy is about to reverse, i don't see eu going down any further for now.
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Dec 10, 2008 11:35pm
Rocroy
Senior Member
Member Since Jun 2007
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Hi bohebolo, I don't think that cable can break 161 fib line, so a good exit might be at the line.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
great, at least we are bullish at the moment.
btw, i'm always curious with fibo line that you draw.
why did you put 0 line & 100 line there?
but it quite accurate... http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Attachment 179949
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 11, 2008 10:50am
pinchapip
Infractions Overload
Member Since Jun 2007
807 Posts
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E/U Bearish butterfly confirmed so far (4 hour time frame). We should go down from where we are now (127 fib) or the last leg will extend till 161.8 then down bighttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
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Last edited by pinchapip, Dec 11, 2008 11:01am
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#1015
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 11, 2008 11:30am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts
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USD CAD
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#1016
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 12, 2008 2:38am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinchapip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
E/U Bearish butterfly confirmed so far (4 hour time frame). We should go down from where we are now (127 fib) or the last leg will extend till 161.8 then down bighttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
Not sure at this point if the up move ended yet, I'd rather see it go till 1.36-1.37 area, there's a lot of confluence in there.
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#1017
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 12, 2008 2:41am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDCAD
USDCAD, H4.
I believe down trend is in danger now. We stopped exactly at c = a and from here I'll look for impulse moves up and wait for retracement to enter the market.
If the current low doesn't hold the next one is at 1.18 area.
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#1018
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 12, 2008 3:05am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURCHF
EURCHF.
Am looking for confirmatory price action to short. It didnt really touch the confluence level so it could still go a bit higher. Unfolding in beautifully clear waves.
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#1019
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 12, 2008 6:42pm
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Member
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EURUSD
Might seem as if it's going higher and higher - I say it won't .. see chart for more. TF: daily
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#1020
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 13, 2008 5:47pm
alex12
Member
Member Since Aug 2008
87 Posts
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Could this be a Gartly on 4h Gpb/Usd . Shallow or deeper gartly?
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Dec 13, 2008 5:52pm
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I say higher on the daily outlook.
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 14, 2008 11:56am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008
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Hello EW friends http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Swissy count http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
ABCDE corrective pattern i suppose.
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#1023
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 14, 2008 12:51pm
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Member
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I see an a-b-c corrective pattern developing on USDCHF. I suppose we are in a wave 1 of wave a.
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#1024
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 14, 2008 10:13pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Senior Member
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hello EW friends http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Swissy count http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
ABCDE corrective pattern i suppose.
nice. that means no new low for eu. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#1025
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 14, 2008 10:18pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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please comment. eur/gbp weekly count.
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#1026
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 3:41am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
please comment. eur/gbp weekly count.
I too am waiting for a top, preferably around 0.92.
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#1027
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 10:50am
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I too am waiting for a top, preferably around 0.92.
ah~ thank you, soso. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
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#1028
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:20am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar3774_3.gifbohebolo
Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005
33 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saeidhidari http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
ok
gbp usd
Hi saeid,
it's seem your C target on cable has been reached.
Do you have an update count for short term cable?
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#1029
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:36am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I too am waiting for a top, preferably around 0.92.
I'm expecting 1 more wave UP as w5..
wat you guys think?
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#1030
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:43am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
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Hi all,
My usdchf chart,,
Different from 5ysfx view..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182534&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229359369
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#1031
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:48am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar68941_1.gifSlight
Member
Member Since May 2008
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I don't see your logic behind that USDCHF chart blue bottle. How can you have an abc (CORRECTIVE!) upwards, when it makes one new high after the other.. that is surely a 5 wave move up 1-2-3-4-5 .. now we entering the a-b-c stuff ...
This is what I have.
edit: I just noticed I posted the same chart a couple of posts higher. So to avoid the repost see post #1023
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#1032
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:58am
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
Senior Member
Member Since Oct 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi all,
My usdchf chart,,
Different from 5ysfx view..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
blue, doesn't c wave always subdivided by 5 waves?
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#1033
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 12:00pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Slight http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I don't see your logic behind that USDCHF chart blue bottle. How can you have an abc (CORRECTIVE!) upwards, when it makes one new high after the other.. that is surely a 5 wave move up 1-2-3-4-5 .. now we entering the a-b-c stuff ...
This is what I have.
edit: I just noticed I posted the same chart a couple of posts higher. So to avoid the repost see post #1023
i agree with blue. the up move looks to be abc. the start of this wave was abc, it seems.
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#1034
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 12:11pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar68941_1.gifSlight
Member
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According to how I count waves it couldn't be just an abc move. Looking at the weekly I would say this upmove was a wave 4 ... and wave 4s structures are hard to determine. However, looking at the daily not being sure about the weekly, I clearly see the perfect setup for a 5 wave move up (see comments on chart).. which is finished now .. and now south south south.
I could be wrong :P
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182551&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229360892
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Dec 15, 2008 1:43pm
alex12
Member
Member Since Aug 2008
87 Posts
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Probably Gartly sell pattern has formed?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182571&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229366572
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1040
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 4:00pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex12 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Probably Gartly sell pattern has formed?
You might be right, but this topic is about Elliott Waves???????
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#1041
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 4:02pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I'm expecting 1 more wave UP as w5..
wat you guys think?
Possible BB although I'm not going as down as 15m, my main resistance area is at 0.92 - 0.925 while the top as of today is at 0.902 so a couple of hundred pips short.
But this doesnt mean that wave 5 top is not in. See attached picture, the big momentum bearish bar stopped right on the lower trendline of the channel. If it breaks we might not have a chance for another top.
Looking at EURCHF, this pic and a few posts back, I think we are near the top, if really will be one. EURUSD also touched ret 38% of the whole move down today. If it will be weakness I believe it will be euro weakness against everything else.
So my main strategy is to launch 1st short if the current Outside Bar breaks down (meaning the TL breaks too).
For EURCHF I need an impulsive move down to get in as you can clearly see we are still making higher highs.
One thing, we might go higher without looking back till next year, December is known as profit taking month so if we pierce through the EURCHF and/or EURUSD resistance levels I will stay out of shorts till next year.
Good luck everyone!
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182613&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229374724 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182614&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229374724
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#1042
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 6:31pm
alex12
Member
Member Since Aug 2008
87 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
You might be right, but this topic is about Elliott Waves???????
Sorry ,you are right. I realised later and posted it in the appropriate thread which is pattern trading.
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#1043
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 15, 2008 11:52pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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EurChf chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=182716&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229403152
Dec 18, 2008 2:31am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURCHF & USDCAD
EURCHF: Beautiful unfolding, all trendlines broken at this point so I would expect at least a 50% retracement we didn't see 38% so there's a lot of room to fall. I'll look to add to shorts if we get a decent retracement.
USCAD: I think USDCAD is in a good buying position, IF PA allows it.
P.S. EURGBP made new strong highs so at this point it is off my radar for the time being.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=183846&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229585423 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=183847&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229585423
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1045
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 18, 2008 3:59am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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EurGbp Chart in 5mins timeframe..
Is it the TOP?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=183870&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229590769
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#1046
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 18, 2008 8:20am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif USDCAD
It touched the confluence level and reversed.
As long as we dont have new lows I have 2 BUY orders at 1.2 and 1.212 and I am looking for new highs.
Good luck everyone!
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=183995&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229606428
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#1047
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 2:02am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif 5mins EurUsd chart
hi all, looks good for short position..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184392&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229670146
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#1048
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 2:38am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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EurChf chart
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184404&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229672223
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#1049
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 2:51am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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Eur Usd chart..
1 of the possibility..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184410&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229673059
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#1050
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 2:54am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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My cable chart..
Pls commant/..
Edit: Pls ignore this chart.. wb of W4 counted wrongly.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184412&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229673241
Last edited by Blue bottle, Dec 19, 2008 4:49am
Dec 19, 2008 3:02am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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UsdChf chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184414&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229673725
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1052
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 3:19am
hymns
Member
Member Since Oct 2006
5 Posts
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Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd & Usd/Cad
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184423&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229674655 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184424&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229674655 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184425&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229674690
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#1053
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 3:34am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdChf chart..
i like ur chart http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
i see end of C around 161.8% or 261.8%
Fasten ur seatbelt http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184426&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229675635
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#1054
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 3:39am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
i like ur chart http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
i see end of C around 161.8% or 261.8%
Fasten ur seatbelt http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
Thanks...
I placed red color trend line as my target http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184427&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229675901
Dec 19, 2008 4:02am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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AusUsd chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184437&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229677328
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1057
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:07am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
AusUsd chart..
BB wave 1 longer than 3 ? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
could u explain this http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#1058
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:10am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar3774_3.gifbohebolo
Pattern Trader
Member Since Oct 2005
33 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
My cable chart..
Pls commant/..
Hi BB,
your wave b of 4 looks impulsive for me..
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#1059
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:14am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ysfx http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
BB wave 1 longer than 3 ? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
could u explain this http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
I took it as extension 1st wave.. Refer attachement fig 4-5.
I might be wrong too..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184450&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229678118
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#1060
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:23am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/4kt.gif2,708 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I took it as extension 1st wave.. Refer attachement fig 4-5.
I might be wrong too..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
kk
roger that
everyday day something new http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
green pips to all of u http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gifhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/party.gif
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#1061
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:26am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bohebolo http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi BB,
your wave b of 4 looks impulsive for me..
You are right bro.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
I missed something there. Wave B shouldn't be impulsive.
Please ignore my chart, i need to recount it.
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#1062
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:35am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif177 Posts
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Continuing http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1046
Both orders activated, and just tighten the first stop a bit. I will try to hold these longer because if this is the start of a wave 3 then we should go at least 100% wave 1.
Good luck everyone.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184465&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229679352
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#1063
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:41am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar75371_1.gif5ysfx
Futurologist/pogodynka
Member Since Jul 2008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/4kt.gif2,708 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Continuing http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1046
Both orders activated, and just tighten the first stop a bit. I will try to hold these longer because if this is the start of a wave 3 then we should go at least 100% wave 1.
Good luck everyone.
saw that great job bro http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/big_grin.gif
amazing how many of us have different trading style but conlusion is most of the times same http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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#1064
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 4:47am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
You are right bro.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/thumbsup.gif
I missed something there. Wave B shouldn't be impulsive.
Please ignore my chart, i need to recount it.
my reversed cable count..
Wht you guys think?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184469&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229680012
Dec 19, 2008 8:26am
Rocroy
Senior Member
Member Since Jun 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/2kt.gif513 Posts
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My cable count, where wave c of wB is IM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
My cable chart..
Pls commant/..
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184549&thumb=1&d=1229693180
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1068
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 19, 2008 12:44pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
Member Since Mar 2006
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/10+kt.gif4,413 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif
Wave 1 can be longer than Wave 3 -
Wave 3 can't be the shortest of W 1/3/5, but Wave 3 can be shorter than either Wave 1 or 5 but not both.
Last edited by SunTrader, Dec 19, 2008 12:55pm
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#1069
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 20, 2008 4:53am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
Senior Member
Member Since Nov 2007
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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EurChf chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184722&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229766815
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#1070
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 20, 2008 2:34pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar77494_1.gifsaeidhidari
Eliot wave trader
Member Since Aug 2008
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/1kt.gif125 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif gbp usd
gbp usd up trend
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184787&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1229801654
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#1071
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 20, 2008 3:09pm
ivanhoe
Member
Member Since Nov 2008
2 Posts
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This is my first post to this site so if I’m in the wrong thread I apologize and please direct me to the newbies thread. I’m new to EW and am wondering what to make of my miscount shown in the chart. What would I call the continuation of the trend after the 5 wave?
Actually thought the count was looking good.
http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3120/3117554343_432491fb6f.jpg?v=0
Dec 21, 2008 1:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ivanhoe http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
This is my first post to this site so if I’m in the wrong thread I apologize and please direct me to the newbies thread. I’m new to EW and am wondering what to make of my miscount shown in the chart. What would I call the continuation of the trend after the 5 wave?
Actually thought the count was looking good.
Hi Ivanhoe. Welcome. You are in the right thread.
May I suggest you should study the Elliot Wave Principle - Robert Prechter, or some other reliable source to get the basics down.
The short answer is impulse waves extend so one of either 1, 3, or 5 is at least 1.618 longer than the next longest. Generally, it is wave 3. A good clue is wave 3 extensions channel fairly well - with a slight parabolic incline toward vertical. 1st extensions do not channel well, they spread out like a fan getting larger; while 5th extensions tend to narrow like the Eiffel tower shape.
Extensions are a requirement in my book, subdivisions are optional, the three impulses cannot be about equal to each other, one needs to be longer. And 3 cannot be the shortest or shorter than 2.
The trick is to spot the overlap in the 1, 2 waves, with a smaller i, ii, iii, iv, v extension to complete 3, finished by a final 4, 5. Look to see if wave 3 is short and retraces below the top of wave 1 - an impulse rule.
After many attempts, you can spot extensions real time with good accuracy. Look for 9 wave (or 13) as the impulsive count. In other words, 5 peaks and 4 valleys. If it counts as 3, 7, 11... then it is corrective - likely zig-zags if you count 2, 4, 6 or 8 peaks.
AFTER a 5 wave impulse, you will get a corrective :3 pattern in simple or complex form. Euro/Usd completed a C wave at 1.47, and made a 5 wave move down in 1 or C to 1.38 (in my preferred count).
Blue Bottle posted this chart from Prechters online course a dozen posts ago.
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=184450&d=1229678118
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 21, 2008 8:41am
Barak's pip
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif e\u
what do u think?
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Last edited by Barak's pip, Dec 21, 2008 9:26am
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#1074
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pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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geppy 1hr count.
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Last edited by pkimnyc, Dec 21, 2008 3:45pm
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#1075
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hymns
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
good charts hymns..
i guess u r new here, warm welcome to our EW thread..
Are you from Johor, Malaysia?
hello blue bottle,
yeah! new on ur thread http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif. just share my chart.
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#1076
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 21, 2008 3:11pm
SunTrader
Trade the reaction not the news!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
guppy 1hr count.
Guppy is a ozzie trader with a MA technique named after him. That is geppy.
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#1077
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pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Guppy is a ozzie trader with a MA technique named after him. That is geppy.
thanks for the correction. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/blushing.gif
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#1078
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 21, 2008 3:55pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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dow weekly count. looks like we are screwed. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif
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#1079
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 21, 2008 4:19pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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GbpJpy Monthly Chart.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_RQBMMMIJptM/SU6yHjnR_OI/AAAAAAAABVk/YjD-kouDl1o/s1600-h/jepy.gif
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Dec 22, 2008 10:18pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurUsd chart
2 possibilities..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 22, 2008 11:13pm
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hi all,
UsdCad daily chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=185444&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230005542
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#1085
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 22, 2008 11:14pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Usdcad 4h chart
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#1086
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 23, 2008 12:54am
Rocroy
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Well, talking about corrections, take a look at Prechter's book on page 153 which has a dow count starting from 1780, and you could say that "we haven't seen nothing yet". Maybe this is the early beginning of a major correction, who knows? But the circumstances for that are slowly building up. Climate change probably has a role as a starter of the correction.
Quote:
Originally Posted by pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
dow weekly count. looks like we are screwed. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif
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#1087
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 23, 2008 2:24am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon7.gif Euro chart
I expect we have seen the high for the Euro retracement, and should see another 5 large wave impulse as (C) continue lower. I can count the first small 5 waves down now as 1, and perhaps the final v of c wave of 2 is close to complete. That opens the door for a 3rd wave down, one of the best trade setups.
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Dec 23, 2008 4:44am
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EurChf chart..
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1089
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 23, 2008 10:38am
Barak's pip
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237 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif chf\jpy
a lot of attention to the chf , what do you think about this count?
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#1090
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 24, 2008 2:04pm
pkimnyc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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have a great holiday guys, and many pips to us in year 2009. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#1091
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 24, 2008 9:04pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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happy holiday to all..
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#1092
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 26, 2008 1:58pm
el grande
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,
UsdCad daily chart..
CORRECT me if I am wrong. BUT is this one of those rare instances when a WAVE 2 forms a TRIANGLE?
WAVE 2 I think should end at "c" while "d" and "e" could be wave 3.1 and 3.2 . AT least as far as I can see and if I remember the guidelines. besides, check your oscillator, a triangle on the chart should also show a triangle on the oscillator
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#1093
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 26, 2008 4:24pm
Trader4ever
Member4Ever
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147 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif trade
Here's a good eliot wave chart.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186116&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230326645
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#1094
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Sixer
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34 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif UsdCad
el grande,
did wave "5" started already or we are still in wave "4" ??
Sixer
http://www.boersentrendonline.de/upload/usdcad1.gif
http://www.boersentrendonline.de/upload/usdcad.gif
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#1095
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 26, 2008 11:27pm
el grande
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sixer http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
el grande,
did wave "5" started already or we are still in wave "4" ??
Sixer
http://www.boersentrendonline.de/upload/usdcad1.gif
IMHO I think USDCAD is still in a wave 4 of a wave 3 or possibly forming a BARRIER TRIANGLE or a FLAT Triangle on the DAILY CHART. THAT is just my take on this pair now. BUT I would not trade/BUY this until it BREAKS out from that 1.3100 level.
THE PURPLE (IV) is too short in time in relation to the purple (II). That is why I think the (IV) is not yet finished. BUT once price breaks the 1.3100 level, then I would take that cue as the Looney being in the wave 5 already.
NOTE that there is a probability IMO that wave 5 will not be that powerful as it has retraced to within 50-60% of wave 3.
Anyway, I prefer to trade the CABLE. CONSIDER this as just a rambling from a trader.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186189&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230413613 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186190&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230413613
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EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS
Last edited by el grande, Dec 27, 2008 4:34pm
Dec 27, 2008 4:51pm
el grande
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I'm glad that your are here El grande..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Initially i counted this up move as correction and wB goes as triangle. When i redraw it as impulse waves and w2 as abc, it leads to many (i guess 3) nested impulse waves and truncate 5th wave.
So changed w2 as triangle, then it matches well with charts, with sharp w4 retrace. Very rarely count triangle w2, if i'm not wrong its 1st time. I might be wrong too..
Can i request ur chart please, since a picture speak thousand words.
BB
I did not say you were wrong because you may have seen something I failed to see. Anyway, I posted my earlier chart count in my previous post.
But here I am attaching a revised count using the Stochastics as a guide.
However, you will see that if I start with the weekly count, my earlier count on the Daily will be revised. The last 2 charts is the alternative count.
EGhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186193&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230414656 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186201&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230418696 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186202&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230418696
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EW Counts are basically about increasing Probabilities. They are not Perfect. My EW Counts are Recommended for DEMO Trading only. They should be viewed as POTENTIAL Scenarios and MUST NEVER be considered as TRADE CALLS
Last edited by el grande, Dec 27, 2008 5:58pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1100
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doji
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Quote:
Originally Posted by toshi http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Just my opinion, but markets would still function as they always do
only difference is the population would cease to reproduce and
test tube babies would become commonplace.
In the Euro drop from 160 to 123, some saw 1 2 3 waves, then a triangle which should have been terminal,
were looking for that to be the 4th wave, then awaiting a 5th, suddenly, the market ran up 2000+ pips in just a few days,
violated the price of wave 1 and are now looking at maybe 160 to 123 was an ABC 3 wave correction of an "A"
and then this last 2000 pip run up was...
LOL! Now you got me something new to think about...test-tube babies!
Btw, I'm glad to see my countryman "el grande" posting here at FF again.
Happy, profitable 2009 all...http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/happy.gif
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#1101
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 2:14am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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cable chartt
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#1102
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 2:36am
Rocroy
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Member Since Jun 2007
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif My euro and cable charts
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186231&thumb=1&d=1230449743
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186232&thumb=1&d=1230449743
Dec 28, 2008 10:48am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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UsdJpy chart,,
It looks good for short trade,, wt u guys think?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186246&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230479319
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1106
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 10:57am
Rocroy
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Well, alternation is one of the guidelines, so it often takes place. But not always. Also, the guideline does not say "how sharp" corr is or "how long" does the sideways moves take. It is just a generic principle.
So in this case those next moves that I sketched feel imo most probable, considering other pairs as well, like swissie.
If that support for the euro fails, then there is the next support at 1.3150, and if that fails too then there is a good reason to re-evaluate the count.
Other options for the euro count exist, like FXoffshore and Blue have earlier showed.
R
Quote:
Originally Posted by doji http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi, Rocroy. I agree with your EUR/USD count.
But, based on the alternation principle, shouldn't we be expecting a sharp Wave 4 retracement given that Wave 2 went sideways (and took its own sweet time doing so)?
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#1107
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 11:05am
Barak's pip
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Member Since May 2008
237 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif eur\chf
what do you say about this count on the monthly chart?
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#1108
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 12:27pm
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Evil Speculator
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
UsdJpy chart,,
It looks good for short trade,, wt u guys think?
I share the same view, only that for me to be a setup it is needed that price goes a bit higher in the 91.3-91.5 price zone where we have a good confluence.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186263&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230485272
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#1109
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 3:33pm
swiftpip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I share the same view, only that for me to be a setup it is needed that price goes a bit higher in the 91.3-91.5 price zone where we have a good confluence.
I am a newbie with EW and have been trying to learn from everyone here. This is my first time posting a chart so here goes. I was watching the 91.25 area for wave c of 4 to end. Any input on my count is appreciated. Just trying to determine how my learning is going.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186286&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230496202
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#1110
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 28, 2008 5:46pm
pipeye
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149 Posts
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Cable
Quote:
Originally Posted by el grande http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
IMHO I think USDCAD is still in a wave 4 of a wave 3 or possibly forming a BARRIER TRIANGLE or a FLAT Triangle on the DAILY CHART. THAT is just my take on this pair now. BUT I would not trade/BUY this until it BREAKS out from that 1.3100 level.
THE PURPLE (IV) is too short in time in relation to the purple (II). That is why I think the (IV) is not yet finished. BUT once price breaks the 1.3100 level, then I would take that cue as the Looney being in the wave 5 already.
NOTE that there is a probability IMO that wave 5 will not be that powerful...
Hi el grande,
Would you be able to post your current count for cable?
Dec 29, 2008 4:34am
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Evil Speculator
Member Since Aug 2007
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURUSD
EURUHSD 4H.
I am looking at this current move up as being a correction. Near 1.438 is a good confluence level and that's where I will look for a short setup.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186408&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230543265
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1113
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 4:43am
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Evil Speculator
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swiftpip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am a newbie with EW and have been trying to learn from everyone here. This is my first time posting a chart so here goes. I was watching the 91.25 area for wave c of 4 to end. Any input on my count is appreciated. Just trying to determine how my learning is going.
Your count looks good swiftpip although if you try to be a perfectionist then you'd have a hard time subdividing w3 in 5 impulses.
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#1114
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 6:49am
Walad100100
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Any indicators or strategy?
I'm new to this thread so pls. excuse my ignorance.
I saw the beautifully attached charts that show the EWs. Are these done manually or you have good indicators that generate these lines automatically. I was trying to check the early posts of this thread but I found none.
Any pointers?
Last edited by Walad100100, Dec 29, 2008 7:21am
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#1115
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 8:39am
swiftpip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Your count looks good swiftpip although if you try to be a perfectionist then you'd have a hard time subdividing w3 in 5 impulses.
Thanks Soso. I feel like I am getting the hang of it until I see price movements like this morning. Now I am looking at the charts trying to see how this move in USDJPY fits into the counts, or how the counts fit into this move.
Tim
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#1116
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 8:44am
swiftpip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Walad100100 http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I'm new to this thread so pls. excuse my ignorance.
I saw the beautifully attached charts that show the EWs. Are these done manually or you have good indicators that generate these lines automatically. I was trying to check the early posts of this thread but I found none.
Any pointers?
As a fellow newbie, the charts with the counts and labeling are done manually. I have been studying EW now for about 5 months and can tell you it takes time and patience to learn, and I am far from done with learning.
Good luck in your trading.
Tim
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#1117
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 9:07am
Walad100100
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I believe you swiftpip, as I am aware of the theortical part of this methodology of trading. For that reason I was asking about if our people here are using some indicator in order to mitigate the burden of the EW analysis at least.
Thanks Tim.
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#1118
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 2:39pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47291_4.gifFXoffshore
History & Economic Cycles
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon7.gif Let wave 3 down begin in Euro
Quote:
Originally Posted by soso http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
EURUHSD 4H. I am looking at this current move up as being a correction. Near 1.438 is a good confluence level and that's where I will look for a short setup.
I agree. The bearish correction since Dec 19 1.3822 has been in 3 waves, and has taken too much time (plus overlaps) to be an impulse. Now the proof is in with todays move below 1.4018 eliminating any upward impulse count possibilities.
My first entry target is the next retracement into the 1.31 range, to catch the 6 months of wave (C) down to 1.16 range.
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Last edited by FXoffshore, Dec 29, 2008 4:57pm
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#1119
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 29, 2008 5:32pm
Barak's pip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I agree. The bearish correction since Dec 19 1.3822 has been in 3 waves, and has taken too much time (plus overlaps) to be an impulse. Now the proof is in with todays move below 1.4018 eliminating any upward impulse count possibilities.
My first entry target is the next retracement into the 1.31 range, to catch the 6 months of wave (C) down to 1.16 range.
Attachment 186577
hey ,
so , if I got you ok , you think we haven't seen yet wave no. 3 . as in the chart attached ?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186587&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230589971
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#1120
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 30, 2008 7:05pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barak's pip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hey , so , if I got you ok , you think we haven't seen yet wave no. 3 . as in the chart attached ?
I favor that the fall from 1.60 to 1.23 was (A), however it could be 1. My second choice is A of (A) of .
I think we are working out a (B) wave now. It has the price height required at .618, but needs weeks more time - as I believe wave B must be (at least) equal to A in time or more. B cannot be less than A for time, unless it is in a triangle, so that means a lot of choppy/sideways price action, but favoring down in January.
If I look at the monthly and weekly charts, Eur/Usd has been in A-B-C waves since the 1970's at least. The monthly charts look like a test of .80 is possible over the next 5-10 years. USD swings in 7-10 year cycles in the past.
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#1121
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 30, 2008 7:43pm
Barak's pip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FXoffshore http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I favor that the fall from 1.60 to 1.23 was (A), however it could be 1. My second choice is A of (A) of .
I think we are working out a (B) wave now. It has the price height required at .618, but needs weeks more time - as I believe wave B must be (at least) equal to A in time or more. B cannot be less than A for time, unless it is in a triangle, so that means a lot of choppy/sideways price action, but favoring down in January.
If I look at the monthly and weekly charts, Eur/Usd has been in A-B-C waves since the 1970's at least. The monthly...
hi again ,
it's a good point , when you look at it that way ,a lot of pairs are in a-b-c's or 1-2-3's for years , check out usdjpy .
for the nearest future , I preffer the plan in the attached chat - when a break of 1.3825 will change it , but for now I'll be thinking it as long when the final approval will be a breakout of 1.4720 ... any thoughts ?
happy new year !!!
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=186940&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230683959
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#1122
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 31, 2008 7:09am
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UsdChf chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187038&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230725381
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#1123
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 31, 2008 7:19am
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EurGbp Chart,,
Finally falling?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187039&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230725941
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#1124
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Dec 31, 2008 1:46pm
swiftpip
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif UJ update
updated count on UJ. Still looking for c of C of 4 to complete. Looking for short entry above 91.20.
Alternate count could be that this A-B-C was wave A of 4.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187188&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1230748884
Jan 5, 2009 12:15am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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hi all,
wt u guys think abt my usdjpy chart?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187885&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231132515
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1127
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 12:51am
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,
wt u guys think abt my usdjpy chart?
Looks good to me. Only thing is on my H1 chart I see only a Wave A so far.
Could be that wave 1 is wave A and wave 2 is wave B and wave 3/4/5 is 1/2/3 of Wave C. More trading bars will tell.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187894&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231134659
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#1128
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 5:04am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Looks good to me. Only thing is on my H1 chart I see only a Wave A so far.
Could be that wave 1 is wave A and wave 2 is wave B and wave 3/4/5 is 1/2/3 of Wave C. More trading bars will tell.
Thanks SunTrader.
I see no movement in UsdCad pair last few days..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif
Attached my 1min chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187950&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231149836
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#1129
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 5:21am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Thanks SunTrader.
I see no movement in UsdCad pair last few days..http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/sad.gif
Attached my 1min chart..
My target 50pips reached in no time. Trading small TF to kill time & for fun..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187954&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231150858
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Jan 5, 2009 5:52am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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EurChf chart
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187961&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231152769
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1131
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 7:27am
Rocroy
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif UJ chart
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=187978&thumb=1&d=1231158460
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#1132
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 10:12am
swiftpip
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif UJ
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocroy http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Attachment 187978
I am just trying to get clarification of the guidelines for wave 4. It can not extend past wave 1, which ended around the 93.50 range, is that correct? If this was the end of wave 4, how would you count wave B. Blue Bottle, you state that you only count this as wave A. As a new EW counter, I am trying to understand these counts better.
Thanks
Tim
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#1133
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 10:25am
Rocroy
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You are right, wave 1 and 4 should not overlap.
I haven't marked wave a, b, and c in the correction. This move could contain all of them, or we could only have wave a here. The point in the chart is that (if the count is correct) is gives you a good chance for shorting with tight sl.
Anyway, here's my 4h chart, hopefully that makes things more clear.
Quote:
Originally Posted by swiftpip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am just trying to get clarification of the guidelines for wave 4. It can not extend past wave 1, which ended around the 93.50 range, is that correct? If this was the end of wave 4, how would you count wave B. Blue Bottle, you state that you only count this as wave A. As a new EW counter, I am trying to understand these counts better.
Thanks
Tim
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=188036&thumb=1&d=1231169058
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#1134
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 10:27am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swiftpip http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
I am just trying to get clarification of the guidelines for wave 4. It can not extend past wave 1, which ended around the 93.50 range, is that correct? If this was the end of wave 4, how would you count wave B. Blue Bottle, you state that you only count this as wave A. As a new EW counter, I am trying to understand these counts better.
Thanks
Tim
Hi Tim,
i think u got me wrong. I counted w4 as abc & i believe wC was ended at 93.5. This way, w4 is not into w1 area & no EW rules are broken too.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=188038&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231169262
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#1135
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 11:11am
swiftpip
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi Tim,
i think u got me wrong. I counted w4 as abc & i believe wC was ended at 93.5. This way, w4 is not into w1 area & no EW rules are broken too.
Thanks for the clarification. I will continue to practice my counts.
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#1136
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 3:57pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar47447_1.gifsoso
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Speaking of EW schools you guys might check out Robert Miner's new book (High Probability Trading Strategies), not focused on EW only but highly practical strategies built around simple EW analysis.
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#1137
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 5:25pm
SunTrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/user_online.gif
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Soso,
Miner is exactly the guy I do follow and his belief (mine too) is that EW's are present only about 50% of the time and it is not neccessary to label every zig and zag.
Just like day follows night and night follows day, and numerous other balances of nature and life, noise follows EW's and EW's follow noise.
I leave the noise alone.
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Sun
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#1138
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 5, 2009 11:58pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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my EurChf chart..
I recounted it as impulse waves..
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_6cah8sG6L8o/SWLg_H4GynI/AAAAAAAAAFY/z07VOlqS0iY/s1600-h/eurchf+h1.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=188288&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231217924
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Jan 8, 2009 1:38am
hymns
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As you seen yesterday market has perform to complete wave c (white) and also wave 4 (yellow). Now we have 2 situation here. Either market to climbing to complete wave 3 (white) or wave 2/b (orange). Good luck!
*Correct me if i'm wrong http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/peace.gif
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=189191&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231396636 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=189192&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231396636
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1142
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 9:23am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hymns http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
As you seen yesterday market has perform to complete wave c (white) and also wave 4 (yellow). Now we have 2 situation here. Either market to climbing to complete wave 3 (white) or wave 2/b (orange). Good luck!
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Hi all,
My gbpJpy chart. After some struggle managed to read it.
What you guys think? Any correction??
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=189332&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231424590
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#1143
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 12:37pm
hymns
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi all,
My gbpJpy chart. After some struggle managed to read it.
What you guys think? Any correction??
Yeah same with my counting. Blue Bottle which pair you focus on your trade?
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#1144
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 12:39pm
pkimnyc
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Hi all,
My gbpJpy chart. After some struggle managed to read it.
What you guys think? Any correction??
nice count blue. now, it's very clear. thanks.
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#1145
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 5:03pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar78604_1.gifamirhabibi
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif EURUSD
EURUSD M30
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=189489&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231452194
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#1146
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 5:58pm
fry2010
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776 Posts
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I read that gbpjpy as the end of extended fifth wave on weekly chart. I agree with the intended move to upside tho.
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#1147
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 8, 2009 6:39pm
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Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 8, 2009 9:27pm
Jan 8, 2009 6:39pm
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Us Dollar
Usd/Chf
----------------------------
Double Bottom Formation ?
----------------------------
http://i43.tinypic.com/20ft01t.gif
Last edited by marketwavez, Jan 8, 2009 9:27pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/quote.gif #1148
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 11, 2009 1:27am
ninohoang
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon1.gif Need EW experts' advice
I am still learning EW analysis. I've tried to come up with EW count on eurusd daily chart. Although I have a few scenarios, this is the best count that I can come up with so far (image attached). If it's correct, then I think the wave 5:3 up move is underway?. That coincides with the cross up of the momentum indicator below the chart. Please, EW experts tell me whether my count is alright. Thanks for your replies.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190132&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231655228
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#1149
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 11, 2009 7:51am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar68941_1.gifSlight
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I have something different. Last move up was a wave b of a correction, wave c downwards has started already and should be in for new lows on the daily TF.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190165&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231678291
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#1150
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 11, 2009 9:40pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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UsdChf 15mins Chart..
Completing 5 waves..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190322&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231727983
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#1151
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 11, 2009 9:56pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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GbpJpy Hourly Chart..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190325&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231728991
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#1152
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 12, 2009 12:22am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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Triangle in EurChf?
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190382&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231737734
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#1153
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 12, 2009 4:16am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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hi all,
my cable chart...
Seems like w4 is forming as expanding triangle..
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190431&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231751755
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#1154
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 12, 2009 4:21am
belekas
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue bottle http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
hi all,
my cable chart...
Seems like w4 is forming as expanding triangle..
Yes looks like expanding triangle. Might turn into diamond later http://www.forexfactory.com/images/smilies/yim/winking.gif
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#1155
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/statusicon/post_old.gif Jan 12, 2009 4:44am
http://www.forexfactory.com/nfs/avatar54182_2.gifBlue bottle
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http://www.forexfactory.com/images/misc/3kt.gif594 Posts
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hi all,
my usdjpy chart..
I have redraw all waves since my previous counts became invalid..
Pls commant.
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=190440&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1231753425
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